PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

0x11963e27e9578907F62C6a571748c7102d312592-1771616624069

0x11963e27e9578907f62c6a571748c7102d312592

Realised P&L
$136.57
Volume
$32.0k
Markets traded
41
Open portfolio
$85.78

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.4%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded41
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration49.5% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
CautionSettled sample23 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)73.9%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration47.2% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Lewis Hamilton be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? · Yes0.1550.100$40.47$22.20
Will Juan Grabois win the 2027 Argentina presidential election? · Yes0.0440.011$28.74$91.26
Will Myriam Bregman win the 2027 Argentina presidential election? · Yes0.0540.007$16.58$103.42
Will Germany win on 2026-06-29? · Yes0.7400.000$0.00$51.00
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes0.2480.000$0.00$85.09
Argentina vs. Switzerland: Both Teams to Score in First Half · Yes0.1600.000$0.00$9.00
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-11? · Yes0.5770.000$0.00$30.00
Lionel Messi: 1+ goals · Yes0.5100.000$0.00$15.00
Will Saudi Arabia win on 2026-06-21? · Yes0.0370.000$0.00$13.00
Lionel Messi: 2+ goals · Yes0.1600.000$0.00$15.00
Will Trump meet with Netanyahu by July 28, 2026? · No0.0710.000$0.00$20.00
US forces enter Iran by April 30? · No0.4000.000$0.00$20.00
Will Spain vs. Saudi Arabia end in a draw? · Yes0.0800.000$0.00$13.00
Julián Álvarez: 1+ goals · Yes0.2700.000$0.00$10.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
07-26 15:15Will Trump meet with Netanyahu by July 28, 2026?BUY0.0711541198$20.00
07-26 12:46Will Lewis Hamilton be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?BUY0.1579999974$41.58
07-26 12:42Will Lewis Hamilton be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?BUY0.1490134715$21.09
07-25 20:06La Velada del Año 6 Edu Aguirre vs Gastón EdulSELL0.992$21.56
07-25 19:10La Velada del Año 6 Edu Aguirre vs Gastón EdulBUY0.6899999995$15.00
07-25 19:09US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 31?SELL0.63$15.75
07-24 20:19Will LeBron James play for the Miami Heat in 2026-27?SELL0.001$0.04
07-24 04:38Will LeBron James play for the Miami Heat in 2026-27?BUY0.439999991$15.64
07-20 05:53US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 31?BUY0.48$12.00
07-19 21:47Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?SELL0.084$29.49
07-17 13:32Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?SELL0.411$33.85
07-16 13:09Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?SELL0.416$24.59
07-16 04:33Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?SELL0.416$36.15
07-15 21:46Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?SELL0.419$15.49
07-15 21:36Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?SELL0.419$31.92