0x11963e27e9578907F62C6a571748c7102d312592-1771616624069
0x11963e27e9578907f62c6a571748c7102d312592
- Realised P&L
- $136.57
- Volume
- $32.0k
- Markets traded
- 41
- Open portfolio
- $85.78
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.4%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded41
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration49.5% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- CautionSettled sample23 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)73.9%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration47.2% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$264.09at 0.145Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
- +$99.41at 0.152Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
- +$40.69at 0.127Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
- +$21.74at 0.342Will Argentina’s annual inflation in 2026 be between 30% and 34.9%?
- +$19.38at 0.390Argentina leading at halftime?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-26 15:15 | Will Trump meet with Netanyahu by July 28, 2026? | BUY | 0.0711541198 | $20.00 |
| 07-26 12:46 | Will Lewis Hamilton be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? | BUY | 0.1579999974 | $41.58 |
| 07-26 12:42 | Will Lewis Hamilton be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? | BUY | 0.1490134715 | $21.09 |
| 07-25 20:06 | La Velada del Año 6 Edu Aguirre vs Gastón Edul | SELL | 0.992 | $21.56 |
| 07-25 19:10 | La Velada del Año 6 Edu Aguirre vs Gastón Edul | BUY | 0.6899999995 | $15.00 |
| 07-25 19:09 | US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 31? | SELL | 0.63 | $15.75 |
| 07-24 20:19 | Will LeBron James play for the Miami Heat in 2026-27? | SELL | 0.001 | $0.04 |
| 07-24 04:38 | Will LeBron James play for the Miami Heat in 2026-27? | BUY | 0.439999991 | $15.64 |
| 07-20 05:53 | US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 31? | BUY | 0.48 | $12.00 |
| 07-19 21:47 | Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | SELL | 0.084 | $29.49 |
| 07-17 13:32 | Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | SELL | 0.411 | $33.85 |
| 07-16 13:09 | Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | SELL | 0.416 | $24.59 |
| 07-16 04:33 | Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | SELL | 0.416 | $36.15 |
| 07-15 21:46 | Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | SELL | 0.419 | $15.49 |
| 07-15 21:36 | Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | SELL | 0.419 | $31.92 |