SStais78
0x1188c313b48362bc6dfa636be6e387fd0e06b8d1
- Realised P&L
- $24.30
- Volume
- $1.0k
- Markets traded
- 91
- Open portfolio
- $160.96
Can you copy this trader?
plausible — No blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar2.4%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- ClearMarkets traded91
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration16.1% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)96.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration9.3% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$16.73at 0.827Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?
- +$10.20at 0.830Will Anthropic have the third best AI model at the end of July 2026?
- +$8.85at 0.850Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?
- +$5.00at 0.500Will the lowest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 27°C on August 3?
- +$3.80at 0.240Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 31°C on August 3?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-04 19:38 | Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 27°C on August 6? | BUY | 0.97 | $5.10 |
| 08-04 19:37 | Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 23°C on August 6? | BUY | 0.97 | $9.70 |
| 08-04 17:57 | Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 37°C on August 6? | BUY | 0.93 | $4.65 |
| 08-04 17:56 | Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 18°C on August 6? | BUY | 0.95 | $4.75 |
| 08-04 17:56 | Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 38°C on August 6? | BUY | 0.95 | $9.50 |
| 08-04 17:55 | Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 36°C on August 6? | BUY | 0.97 | $9.70 |
| 08-04 14:31 | Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 25°C on August 6? | BUY | 0.98 | $9.80 |
| 08-04 12:45 | Will the highest temperature in London be 21°C on August 6? | BUY | 0.96 | $9.60 |
| 08-04 12:42 | Will the highest temperature in Manila be 31°C on August 6? | BUY | 0.92 | $9.20 |
| 08-04 12:39 | Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 86-87°F on August 5? | BUY | 0.96 | $9.60 |
| 08-04 08:12 | Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 27°C on August 5? | BUY | 0.92 | $9.20 |
| 08-04 08:07 | Will Spotify say "Monetization" during earnings call? | BUY | 0.89 | $4.45 |
| 08-04 08:05 | Will Spotify say "Fitness" during earnings call? | BUY | 0.86 | $4.30 |
| 08-04 04:58 | Will the price of Bitcoin be between $62,000 and $64,000 on August 5? | BUY | 0.43 | $2.15 |
| 08-03 20:06 | Hagen: Niels McDonald vs Jerome Kym | BUY | 0.71 | $3.55 |