PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

Sibastian

0x117a222ac1dc5c7a846aed790b146d09a62fb3fe

Realised P&L
$-433.99
Volume
$21.6k
Markets traded
15
Open portfolio
$105.00

Can you copy this trader?

unrealisticMultiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-2.0%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
BlockerMarkets traded15
Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
CautionProfit concentration34.7% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
CautionSettled sample11 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)72.7%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Bitcoin dip to $62,000 on August 3? · No0.4500.525$105.00+$15.00
Will Germany win on 2026-06-29? · Yes0.7300.000$0.00$200.28
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026? · Yes0.0380.000$0.00$55.42
Will Bitcoin dip to $62,000 on August 2? · Yes0.0800.000$0.00$80.00
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 15, 2026? · No0.8000.000$0.00$42.40

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
06-01 17:14MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?BUY0.001$2.00
06-01 17:13MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?BUY0.001$3.00
05-31 05:50MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?BUY0.85$586.21