Sonnet1977
0x114604d6a2813496b481f98b4d2d7eb6b1581ebc
- Realised P&L
- $76.30
- Volume
- $32.2k
- Markets traded
- 2,273
- Open portfolio
- $209.45
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded2,273
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- ClearProfit concentration8.4% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)98.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration9.4% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$2.88at 0.910Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 12:00AM-4:00AM ET
- +$2.58at 0.919Ethereum Up or Down - July 18, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET
- +$2.56at 0.920Bitcoin Up or Down - July 23, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET
- +$2.56at 0.920XRP Up or Down - June 16, 12:00AM-4:00AM ET
- +$2.49at 0.844Solana Up or Down - July 23, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-03 23:06 | Will Abdul El-Sayed win Wayne County in the Michigan Senate Democratic primary? | BUY | 0.94 | $19.74 |
| 08-03 23:06 | Will Sean McCann be the MI-04 Democratic nominee? | BUY | 0.989 | $19.78 |
| 08-03 23:06 | Will Diop Harris be the MI-04 Democratic nominee? | BUY | 0.99 | $19.80 |
| 08-03 23:06 | Will William Lawrence be the Democratic nominee for MI-07? | BUY | 0.93 | $19.53 |
| 08-03 23:06 | Will Bridget Brink be the Democratic nominee for MI-07? | BUY | 0.965 | $19.30 |
| 08-03 23:06 | Will Christina Hines be the Democratic Nominee for MI-10? | BUY | 0.96 | $7.68 |
| 08-03 23:06 | Will John James win the 2026 Michigan Governor Republican primary election? | BUY | 0.989 | $19.78 |
| 08-03 23:06 | Will Philip Sarnecki win the 2026 Kansas Governor Republican primary election? | BUY | 0.965 | $19.30 |
| 08-03 23:06 | Will Aisha Farooqi be the Democratic nominee for MI-11? | BUY | 0.97 | $19.40 |
| 08-03 23:06 | Will Jeremy Moss be the Democratic nominee for MI-11? | BUY | 0.97 | $19.40 |
| 08-03 20:21 | WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $81 on August 3? | BUY | 0.99 | $19.80 |
| 08-03 20:11 | Natural Gas (NG) Up or Down on August 3? | BUY | 0.99 | $13.86 |
| 08-03 19:57 | Ethereum Up or Down - August 3, 3PM ET | BUY | 0.986 | $9.86 |
| 08-03 19:42 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 3, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET | BUY | 0.93 | $14.88 |
| 08-03 19:12 | Ethereum Up or Down - August 3, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET | BUY | 0.99 | $14.85 |