RabbitRunning
0x111f9b5f33812ecabda0922a868cb76a27adaf00
- Realised P&L
- $-8.5k
- Volume
- $288.1k
- Markets traded
- 253
- Open portfolio
- $3.9k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-3.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded253
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration30.5% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)68.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration53.5% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$4.0kat 0.638Will Eric Adams endorse Cuomo?
- +$870.26at 0.625Will Trump refrain from announcing a next Fed Chair in 2025?
- +$731.45at 0.197Israel strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?
- +$622.28at 0.261Will Eric Adams drop out by September 30?
- +$386.82at 0.400Will another player lead the NBA in Rebounds?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-02 14:42 | Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day have the best domestic opening weekend in 2026? | BUY | 0.64 | $200.00 |
| 08-02 14:41 | Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day have the best domestic opening weekend in 2026? | BUY | 0.64 | $300.00 |
| 08-02 14:41 | Will Avengers: Doomsday have the best domestic opening weekend in 2026? | BUY | 0.64 | $100.00 |
| 08-02 14:40 | Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day have the best domestic opening weekend in 2026? | BUY | 0.6359262561 | $100.00 |
| 08-02 14:40 | Will Avengers: Doomsday be the top grossing movie of 2026? | SELL | 0.92 | $504.10 |
| 08-02 14:39 | Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day be the top grossing movie of 2026? | BUY | 0.9 | $300.00 |
| 08-02 14:39 | Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day have the best domestic opening weekend in 2026? | BUY | 0.6299999483 | $10.00 |
| 08-02 14:37 | Will Abdul El-Sayed win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary? | SELL | 0.02549185 | $25.49 |
| 08-02 14:37 | Will Avengers: Doomsday have the best domestic opening weekend in 2026? | SELL | 0.627142 | $627.14 |
| 08-02 14:36 | Will Haley Stevens win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary? | SELL | 0.02091021 | $20.91 |
| 08-02 14:35 | Will Abdul El-Sayed win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary? | SELL | 0.02509 | $25.09 |
| 08-02 14:35 | Will Abdul El-Sayed win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary? | SELL | 0.02668398 | $13.34 |
| 07-29 16:00 | Will Haley Stevens win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary? | BUY | 0.191987421 | $50.00 |
| 07-29 16:00 | Will Abdul El-Sayed win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary? | BUY | 0.2 | $20.00 |
| 07-29 15:55 | Will Haley Stevens win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary? | BUY | 0.1770372023 | $200.00 |