PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

0x10b3021521d1e2045db59bc79106f99e77c8d408

Realised P&L
$-3.59
Volume
$608.00
Markets traded
19
Open portfolio
$34.13

Can you copy this trader?

unrealisticMultiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.6%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
BlockerMarkets traded19
Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
BlockerProfit concentration68.5% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
CautionSettled sample17 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)58.8%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration26.4% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the Tampa Bay Lightning win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup? · No0.8591.000$9.00+$1.27
Kim Jong Un out as Supreme Leader of North Korea by December 31, 2026? · No0.9300.958$8.62+$0.25
Will North Korea invade South Korea before 2027? · No0.9660.966$4.83$0.00
Will Trump pardon Ghislaine Maxwell by end of 2026? · No0.9300.915$4.58$0.07
Will Perplexity’s market cap be between $20B and $30B at market close on IPO day? · Yes0.0290.063$3.15+$1.70
Will Paramount close Warner Bros. acquisition by end of 2026? · Yes0.7300.231$2.31$4.99
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027? · Yes0.2800.195$1.36$0.59
Will Russia rejoin the G7 before 2027? · Yes0.0680.018$0.28$0.74

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
07-08 08:27Will North Korea invade South Korea before 2027?BUY0.966$4.83
06-29 00:16Will Belgium recognize Palestine before 2027?BUY0.23$1.84
06-23 00:58China coup attempt before 2027?BUY0.96$6.72
06-21 13:31Aziz Akhannouch out as Morocco Prime Minister by December 31, 2026?BUY0.857$6.00
06-14 02:36Will Somaliland join the Abraham Accords before 2027?BUY0.32$1.60
06-11 16:36Nord Stream pipeline turned on before 2027?BUY0.065$1.30
06-03 11:18Will India strike Pakistan by December 31, 2026?BUY0.77$3.85
05-25 04:31Will Somaliland join the Abraham Accords before 2027?BUY0.28$1.40
05-25 04:30Israel x Turkey military clash before 2027?BUY0.85$4.25
05-22 03:58Will Italy recognize Palestine before 2027?BUY0.83$4.15
05-22 03:58Aziz Akhannouch out as Morocco Prime Minister by December 31, 2026?BUY0.968$4.84
05-22 03:58U.S. recognizes Russian sovereignty over Crimea before 2027? BUY0.09$1.17
04-25 11:07Will Russia rejoin the G7 before 2027?BUY0.068$1.02
04-25 11:07Will North Korea invade South Korea before 2027?BUY0.936$13.10
04-25 11:07Will a new country join the Abraham Accords before 2027?BUY0.445$4.00