PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

0x0fecca63f9c1344733219d1410c7314158f6ac4a

Realised P&L
$-1.17
Volume
$880.00
Markets traded
19
Open portfolio
$50.09

Can you copy this trader?

unrealisticMultiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.1%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
BlockerMarkets traded19
Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
BlockerProfit concentration56.2% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
CautionSettled sample17 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)41.2%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration27.7% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Japan recognize Palestine before 2027? · No0.8700.925$13.88+$0.82
Milei out as President of Argentina before 2027? · No0.8050.955$11.45+$1.80
Will Somaliland join the Abraham Accords before 2027? · No0.8100.830$5.81+$0.14
Will Belgium recognize Palestine before 2027? · No0.8400.830$4.98$0.06
H.R. 22 (SAVE Act) signed into law in 2026? · No0.5000.945$4.72+$2.22
Will a new country join the Abraham Accords before 2027? · No0.5210.696$4.18+$1.05
Will the US recognize Palestine before 2027? · Yes0.1000.041$1.60$2.30
Will Belgium recognize Palestine before 2027? · Yes0.1500.170$1.19+$0.14
Will India strike Pakistan by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.2600.175$0.88$0.42
China x India military clash by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.1600.105$0.73$0.39
Will Japan recognize Palestine before 2027? · Yes0.1500.075$0.67$0.68

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
07-18 06:37Will Somaliland join the Abraham Accords before 2027?BUY0.81$5.67
07-11 21:44Will Israel strike 5 countries in 2026?BUY0.315$2.52
07-10 10:48Will Belgium recognize Palestine before 2027?BUY0.15$1.05
07-04 16:12Nord Stream pipeline turned on before 2027?BUY0.027$1.08
07-04 11:11Will Belgium recognize Palestine before 2027?BUY0.84$5.04
06-30 15:38Will Japan recognize Palestine before 2027?BUY0.91$4.55
06-25 11:16Ukraine election held by December 31, 2026?BUY0.12$1.20
06-19 11:45Milei out as President of Argentina before 2027?BUY0.935$6.54
06-15 22:40Will Russia rejoin the G7 before 2027?BUY0.034$1.02
06-12 13:42Will Russia rejoin the G7 before 2027?BUY0.029$1.16
06-01 13:29Will New Zealand recognize Palestine before 2027?BUY0.77$4.62
06-01 13:29Will Russia rejoin the G7 before 2027?BUY0.962$5.77
05-26 06:30Will North Korea invade South Korea before 2027?BUY0.938$5.63
05-26 06:30Will a new country join the Abraham Accords before 2027?BUY0.521$3.13
05-26 06:30Will a new country join the Abraham Accords before 2027?BUY0.48$2.40