0x0fecca63f9c1344733219d1410c7314158f6ac4a
- Realised P&L
- $-1.17
- Volume
- $880.00
- Markets traded
- 19
- Open portfolio
- $50.09
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded19
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration56.2% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample17 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)41.2%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration27.7% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Japan recognize Palestine before 2027? · No | 0.870 | 0.925 | $13.88 | +$0.82 |
| Milei out as President of Argentina before 2027? · No | 0.805 | 0.955 | $11.45 | +$1.80 |
| Will Somaliland join the Abraham Accords before 2027? · No | 0.810 | 0.830 | $5.81 | +$0.14 |
| Will Belgium recognize Palestine before 2027? · No | 0.840 | 0.830 | $4.98 | −$0.06 |
| H.R. 22 (SAVE Act) signed into law in 2026? · No | 0.500 | 0.945 | $4.72 | +$2.22 |
| Will a new country join the Abraham Accords before 2027? · No | 0.521 | 0.696 | $4.18 | +$1.05 |
| Will the US recognize Palestine before 2027? · Yes | 0.100 | 0.041 | $1.60 | −$2.30 |
| Will Belgium recognize Palestine before 2027? · Yes | 0.150 | 0.170 | $1.19 | +$0.14 |
| Will India strike Pakistan by December 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.260 | 0.175 | $0.88 | −$0.42 |
| China x India military clash by December 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.160 | 0.105 | $0.73 | −$0.39 |
| Will Japan recognize Palestine before 2027? · Yes | 0.150 | 0.075 | $0.67 | −$0.68 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$0.91at 0.840China x India military clash by December 31, 2026?
- +$0.30at 0.770Will New Zealand recognize Palestine before 2027?
- +$0.28at 0.740Will India strike Pakistan by December 31, 2026?
- +$0.06at 0.938Will North Korea invade South Korea before 2027?
- +$0.04at 0.034Will Russia rejoin the G7 before 2027?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-18 06:37 | Will Somaliland join the Abraham Accords before 2027? | BUY | 0.81 | $5.67 |
| 07-11 21:44 | Will Israel strike 5 countries in 2026? | BUY | 0.315 | $2.52 |
| 07-10 10:48 | Will Belgium recognize Palestine before 2027? | BUY | 0.15 | $1.05 |
| 07-04 16:12 | Nord Stream pipeline turned on before 2027? | BUY | 0.027 | $1.08 |
| 07-04 11:11 | Will Belgium recognize Palestine before 2027? | BUY | 0.84 | $5.04 |
| 06-30 15:38 | Will Japan recognize Palestine before 2027? | BUY | 0.91 | $4.55 |
| 06-25 11:16 | Ukraine election held by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.12 | $1.20 |
| 06-19 11:45 | Milei out as President of Argentina before 2027? | BUY | 0.935 | $6.54 |
| 06-15 22:40 | Will Russia rejoin the G7 before 2027? | BUY | 0.034 | $1.02 |
| 06-12 13:42 | Will Russia rejoin the G7 before 2027? | BUY | 0.029 | $1.16 |
| 06-01 13:29 | Will New Zealand recognize Palestine before 2027? | BUY | 0.77 | $4.62 |
| 06-01 13:29 | Will Russia rejoin the G7 before 2027? | BUY | 0.962 | $5.77 |
| 05-26 06:30 | Will North Korea invade South Korea before 2027? | BUY | 0.938 | $5.63 |
| 05-26 06:30 | Will a new country join the Abraham Accords before 2027? | BUY | 0.521 | $3.13 |
| 05-26 06:30 | Will a new country join the Abraham Accords before 2027? | BUY | 0.48 | $2.40 |