TobiasDFB
0x0f0999e1ecee1618d6b65b5aaf6ea9cfd3298ed2
- Realised P&L
- $-93.78
- Volume
- $12.2k
- Markets traded
- 54
- Open portfolio
- $43.41
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.8%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded54
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration63.0% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)48.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration71.4% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread: England (-1.5) · Norway | 0.740 | 1.000 | $31.00 | +$8.06 |
| Will Deportivo Toluca FC win on 2026-08-05? · Yes | 0.690 | 0.705 | $12.41 | +$0.26 |
| Knicks vs. Spurs · Spurs | 0.640 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$138.37 |
| Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-24? · Yes | 0.590 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$21.48 |
| Australia vs. Egypt: Team to Advance · Australia | 0.440 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$22.70 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$268.83at 0.500Will Amir Ohana be the next Prime Minister of Israel?
- +$86.15at 0.500Will Andrew Yang win the Democratic Primary for Mayor of New York City?
- +$67.28at 0.600Golden Knights vs. Hurricanes
- +$22.23at 0.500Will Moldova win Eurovision 2026?
- +$21.69at 0.500Will the Chicago Bears win Super Bowl 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-03 12:10 | Will Deportivo Toluca FC win on 2026-08-05? | BUY | 0.69 | $12.14 |
| 07-11 07:26 | US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by July 31? | SELL | 0.991 | $19.98 |
| 07-11 07:25 | Spread: England (-1.5) | BUY | 0.74 | $22.94 |
| 07-11 07:24 | US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by July 31? | BUY | 0.992 | $20.00 |
| 07-02 09:37 | Will Friedrich Merz be the next leader out before 2027? | SELL | 0.001 | $0.03 |
| 07-02 09:37 | Will Friedrich Merz be the next leader out before 2027? | SELL | 0.998 | $26.95 |
| 07-02 09:36 | Australia vs. Egypt: Team to Advance | BUY | 0.44 | $22.70 |
| 06-24 03:23 | Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-24? | BUY | 0.59 | $21.48 |
| 06-09 01:57 | Will Nasir Hosseini be head of state in Iran end of 2026? | SELL | 0.998 | $22.54 |
| 06-09 01:57 | Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30? | SELL | 0.985 | $574.41 |
| 06-09 01:57 | Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting? | SELL | 0.998 | $25.54 |
| 06-09 01:57 | Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30? | BUY | 0.986 | $575.00 |
| 06-09 01:55 | Will Nasir Hosseini be head of state in Iran end of 2026? | SELL | 0.998 | $568.86 |
| 06-09 01:55 | Will Nasir Hosseini be head of state in Iran end of 2026? | BUY | 0.999 | $592.00 |
| 06-09 01:54 | Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting? | SELL | 0.998 | $563.87 |