PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

TobiasDFB

0x0f0999e1ecee1618d6b65b5aaf6ea9cfd3298ed2

Realised P&L
$-93.78
Volume
$12.2k
Markets traded
54
Open portfolio
$43.41

Can you copy this trader?

unrealisticMultiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.8%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded54
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
BlockerProfit concentration63.0% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)48.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration71.4% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Spread: England (-1.5) · Norway0.7401.000$31.00+$8.06
Will Deportivo Toluca FC win on 2026-08-05? · Yes0.6900.705$12.41+$0.26
Knicks vs. Spurs · Spurs0.6400.000$0.00$138.37
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-24? · Yes0.5900.000$0.00$21.48
Australia vs. Egypt: Team to Advance · Australia0.4400.000$0.00$22.70

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-03 12:10Will Deportivo Toluca FC win on 2026-08-05?BUY0.69$12.14
07-11 07:26US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by July 31? SELL0.991$19.98
07-11 07:25Spread: England (-1.5)BUY0.74$22.94
07-11 07:24US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by July 31? BUY0.992$20.00
07-02 09:37Will Friedrich Merz be the next leader out before 2027?SELL0.001$0.03
07-02 09:37Will Friedrich Merz be the next leader out before 2027?SELL0.998$26.95
07-02 09:36Australia vs. Egypt: Team to AdvanceBUY0.44$22.70
06-24 03:23Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-24?BUY0.59$21.48
06-09 01:57Will Nasir Hosseini be head of state in Iran end of 2026?SELL0.998$22.54
06-09 01:57Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?SELL0.985$574.41
06-09 01:57Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting?SELL0.998$25.54
06-09 01:57Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?BUY0.986$575.00
06-09 01:55Will Nasir Hosseini be head of state in Iran end of 2026?SELL0.998$568.86
06-09 01:55Will Nasir Hosseini be head of state in Iran end of 2026?BUY0.999$592.00
06-09 01:54Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting?SELL0.998$563.87