jhhbk8jfdg
0x0eb999669bfce7c659bc9c11cdf3f618bd201438
- Realised P&L
- $46.63
- Volume
- $10.8k
- Markets traded
- 64
- Open portfolio
- $138.70
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.4%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded64
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration10.2% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration97.9% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Amazon be the largest company in the world by market cap on August 31? · No | 0.999 | 0.998 | $135.73 | −$0.14 |
| Will Dogecoin reach $0.20 in August? · No | 0.990 | 0.995 | $2.98 | +$0.01 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$15.05at 0.930Will Union win the most seats in the next German election?
- +$6.01at 0.985Will Bitcoin reach $130,000 in December?
- +$4.05at 0.961Will Elon tweet less than 250 times Jan 3-Jan 10?
- +$2.89at 0.776Israel strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?
- +$2.68at 0.990Will Ethereum hit $6,000 by December 31?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-02 10:02 | Will Dogecoin reach $0.20 in August? | BUY | 0.99 | $2.96 |
| 08-02 10:01 | Will Amazon be the largest company in the world by market cap on August 31? | BUY | 0.999 | $135.86 |
| 07-29 11:52 | Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from July 24 to July 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.969 | $4.84 |
| 07-20 10:43 | Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from July 14 to July 21, 2026? | BUY | 0.999 | $12.99 |
| 07-20 10:42 | Will XRP reach $3.00 in July? | BUY | 0.999 | $301.70 |
| 06-25 11:15 | Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30? | BUY | 0.9889999943 | $165.00 |
| 06-07 09:12 | US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026? | BUY | 0.9939999973 | $150.00 |
| 06-07 09:11 | Will the price of Solana be greater than $120 on June 10? | BUY | 0.9983344426 | $150.00 |
| 06-07 09:10 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $200 in June? | BUY | 0.9969999945 | $123.00 |
| 05-24 05:49 | Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from May 19 to May 26, 2026? | BUY | 0.997 | $140.00 |
| 05-18 06:36 | Will the price of XRP be between $1.50 and $1.60 on May 18? | BUY | 0.998 | $140.00 |
| 05-14 11:01 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $200 in May? | BUY | 0.9949999993 | $198.00 |
| 05-14 08:18 | Trump out as President by May 31? | BUY | 0.995 | $80.00 |
| 05-14 08:17 | Will NYC Mayor post 200+ posts from May 12 to May 19, 2026? | BUY | 0.999 | $18.98 |
| 05-14 08:16 | Will Elon Musk post 80-99 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026? | BUY | 0.998 | $130.00 |