0x0eab29f965e12672331f0aa3d9c454f49209821b
- Realised P&L
- $-105.18
- Volume
- $5.6k
- Markets traded
- 18
- Open portfolio
- $181.60
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.9%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded18
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- CautionProfit concentration33.7% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- CautionSettled sample17 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)58.8%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| UK announces transfer of Falklands to Argentina in 2026? · Yes | 0.065 | 0.040 | $181.60 | −$116.09 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$29.10at 0.638Will Argentina win on 2026-06-22?
- +$11.94at 0.450Will Norway win on 2026-06-30?
- +$11.24at 0.730Will Spain win on 2026-06-26?
- +$8.49at 0.470Will Mexico win on 2026-06-18?
- +$6.88at 0.830Will Egypt vs. IR Iran end in a draw?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-02 16:48 | UK announces transfer of Falklands to Argentina in 2026? | BUY | 0.0466918318 | $89.06 |
| 07-12 01:04 | Will Argentina win on 2026-07-11? | BUY | 0.5599999889 | $6.06 |
| 06-30 23:27 | Will Ecuador win on 2026-06-30? | BUY | 0.2299999948 | $27.09 |
| 06-30 19:18 | Will France win on 2026-06-30? | BUY | 0.7699999993 | $21.46 |
| 06-30 17:00 | Will Norway win on 2026-06-30? | BUY | 0.4499999923 | $8.77 |
| 06-30 16:43 | Will Norway win on 2026-06-30? | BUY | 0.4499997975 | $1.00 |
| 06-30 02:50 | UK announces transfer of Falklands to Argentina in 2026? | BUY | 0.0718700055 | $9.19 |
| 06-29 19:30 | UK announces transfer of Falklands to Argentina in 2026? | BUY | 0.0764872942 | $6.43 |
| 06-29 05:36 | Will Brazil win on 2026-06-29? | BUY | 0.5799999851 | $3.89 |
| 06-28 14:59 | UK announces transfer of Falklands to Argentina in 2026? | BUY | 0.0796861677 | $31.33 |
| 06-28 03:22 | Will Argentina win on 2026-06-27? | BUY | 0.9679999998 | $31.62 |
| 06-28 00:21 | Will Uzbekistan win on 2026-06-27? | BUY | 0.5199999945 | $7.55 |
| 06-28 00:16 | UK announces transfer of Falklands to Argentina in 2026? | BUY | 0.0750288045 | $26.44 |
| 06-27 22:46 | Will Croatia win on 2026-06-27? | BUY | 0.9099999989 | $32.08 |
| 06-27 06:01 | UK announces transfer of Falklands to Argentina in 2026? | BUY | 0.07 | $7.00 |