xiaweiyang
0x0ea42506f66e8b6c78a38c6ade8cd0bec63bac52
- Realised P&L
- $-10.12
- Volume
- $1.3k
- Markets traded
- 158
- Open portfolio
- $6.00
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.8%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded158
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration19.0% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)88.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration25.0% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$17.09at 0.105Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 30°C on June 17?
- +$11.40at 0.630Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Pittsburgh Pirates
- +$10.11at 0.090Will the lowest temperature in Miami be between 76-77°F on June 20?
- +$7.47at 0.170Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 22°C on June 25?
- +$6.69at 0.130Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 31°C on June 19?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-15 10:16 | Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 18°C on July 16? | BUY | 0.4 | $1.00 |
| 07-04 12:54 | Will Miloš Vučević be the next Prime Minister of Serbia? | BUY | 0.8 | $1.00 |
| 07-04 12:27 | Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 18°C on July 4? | BUY | 0.04 | $0.22 |
| 07-03 08:09 | Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 96-97°F on July 3? | BUY | 0.4 | $1.00 |
| 07-02 19:03 | Will the Bank of Israel decrease the Bank of Israel Interest Rate after the July decision? | BUY | 0.1 | $1.00 |
| 07-02 19:02 | Will Spain be eliminated in the Semifinals of the World Cup? | BUY | 0.8 | $1.00 |
| 07-02 18:09 | Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 98-99°F on July 2? | BUY | 0.8 | $1.00 |
| 07-02 17:52 | Will the highest temperature in Paris be 27°C on July 3? | BUY | 0.8 | $1.00 |
| 07-02 16:57 | Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 9°C on July 2? | BUY | 0.4 | $1.00 |
| 07-02 12:19 | Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 14°C on July 4? | BUY | 0.4 | $1.00 |
| 07-01 01:14 | Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Athletics | BUY | 0.63 | $1.50 |
| 06-30 16:55 | Côte d'Ivoire vs. Norway: Both Teams to Score | BUY | 0.6 | $1.50 |
| 06-28 06:16 | Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 32°C on June 29? | BUY | 0.2 | $1.00 |
| 06-28 05:15 | Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 28°C on June 30? | BUY | 0.8 | $1.00 |
| 06-27 19:37 | Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 31°C on June 28? | BUY | 0.4 | $1.00 |