born-plugin
0x0e55bb9fd48523a2d307052259d28578cb4201bb
- Realised P&L
- $154.21
- Volume
- $141.3k
- Markets traded
- 633
- Open portfolio
- $84.12
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded633
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration14.4% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)34.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration60.2% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Andy Beshear win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? · No | 0.976 | 0.975 | $50.67 | −$0.10 |
| Will Ron DeSantis win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? · No | 0.975 | 0.970 | $25.21 | −$0.14 |
| Will Ron DeSantis win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? · Yes | 0.026 | 0.030 | $3.39 | +$0.52 |
| Will Andy Beshear win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? · Yes | 0.023 | 0.025 | $3.05 | +$0.26 |
| Will Patrick Schmidt be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Kansas? · Yes | 0.150 | 0.005 | $1.79 | −$47.11 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$1.3kat 0.010Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from January 30 to February 6, 2026?
- +$1.2kat 0.010Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the March 2026 meeting?
- +$171.64at 0.024Will James Talarico win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
- +$166.46at 0.019Will J.B. Pritzker win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
- +$159.78at 0.024Will Rahm Emanuel win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05-11 01:50 | Will Glenn Youngkin win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | SELL | 0.014 | $0.59 |
| 05-11 01:49 | Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | SELL | 0.037 | $5.14 |
| 05-11 01:49 | Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $4,300 in May? | SELL | 0.11 | $5.25 |
| 05-10 00:14 | Will Rahm Emanuel win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | SELL | 0.024 | $0.91 |
| 05-10 00:13 | Will North America (CONCACAF) win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | SELL | 0.025 | $2.16 |
| 05-10 00:13 | Will Jon Stewart win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | SELL | 0.979 | $258.46 |
| 05-09 17:47 | UFC 328: Djorden Santos vs. Baisangur Susurkaev (Middleweight, Early Prelims) | SELL | 0.11 | $1.1k |
| 05-09 00:54 | Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | SELL | 0.97 | $223.10 |
| 05-07 19:26 | Will MrBeast's next video get between 80 and 90 million views on week 1? | SELL | 0.1 | $10.50 |
| 05-07 15:28 | MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.01 | $12.80 |
| 04-27 01:27 | Will Jon Stewart win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | SELL | 0.021 | $0.51 |
| 03-03 04:40 | Bitcoin Up or Down - March 2, 11:30PM-11:45PM ET | BUY | 0.79 | $17.66 |
| 02-04 01:22 | Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the March 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.99 | $2.5k |
| 02-03 13:31 | Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from January 30 to February 6, 2026? | BUY | 0.99 | $2.6k |
| 01-09 23:56 | Solana Up or Down - January 9, 6:45PM-7:00PM ET | BUY | 0.7565214082 | $39.08 |