krakaza
0x0e11cc0b89fe06832d02892791211fa3a4611b07
- Realised P&L
- $-18.5k
- Volume
- $38.9k
- Markets traded
- 15
- Open portfolio
- $289.65
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-47.7%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded15
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration69.0% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample4 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bitcoin Up or Down - August 4, 4:00PM-8:00PM ET · Down | 0.565 | 0.560 | $289.65 | −$2.74 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - August 3, 8:00PM-12:00AM ET · Down | 0.567 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$2.3k |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - August 2, 12:00AM-4:00AM ET · Down | 0.392 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$954.15 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - August 4, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET · Down | 0.520 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$2.2k |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - July 29, 8:00PM-12:00AM ET · Down | 0.470 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$149.93 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - August 1, 4:00PM-8:00PM ET · Down | 0.510 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.3k |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - August 4, 4:00AM-8:00AM ET · Down | 0.422 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$436.98 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - August 4, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET · Down | 0.527 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$3.4k |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - July 28, 4:00PM-8:00PM ET · Down | 0.422 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$30.00 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - August 3, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET · Down | 0.538 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$4.7k |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - August 2, 4:00PM-8:00PM ET · Down | 0.569 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$3.9k |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$554.64at 0.553Bitcoin Up or Down - July 31, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET
- +$214.40at 0.503Bitcoin Up or Down - July 31, 12:00AM-4:00AM ET
- +$17.49at 0.470Bitcoin Up or Down - July 30, 4:00PM-8:00PM ET
- +$16.80at 0.440Bitcoin Up or Down - July 30, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-04 22:06 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 4, 4:00PM-8:00PM ET | BUY | 0.5606043382 | $48.33 |
| 08-04 20:37 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 4, 4:00PM-8:00PM ET | BUY | 0.566245737 | $244.07 |
| 08-04 18:44 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 4, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET | BUY | 0.3642306334 | $392.04 |
| 08-04 18:44 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 4, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET | BUY | 0.32 | $137.93 |
| 08-04 17:23 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 4, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET | BUY | 0.58 | $35.38 |
| 08-04 16:28 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 4, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET | BUY | 0.579535061 | $760.35 |
| 08-04 12:38 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 4, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET | BUY | 0.4954320635 | $1.5k |
| 08-04 10:48 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 4, 4:00AM-8:00AM ET | BUY | 0.411929338 | $399.56 |
| 08-04 08:13 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 4, 4:00AM-8:00AM ET | BUY | 0.58 | $23.20 |
| 08-04 00:08 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 3, 8:00PM-12:00AM ET | BUY | 0.5382404514 | $709.68 |
| 08-03 16:08 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 3, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET | BUY | 0.4878274585 | $2.0k |
| 08-02 20:08 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 2, 4:00PM-8:00PM ET | BUY | 0.5511961722 | $1.5k |
| 08-02 04:44 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 2, 12:00AM-4:00AM ET | BUY | 0.38 | $64.98 |
| 08-02 04:08 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 2, 12:00AM-4:00AM ET | BUY | 0.4505069253 | $194.18 |
| 08-01 20:08 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 1, 4:00PM-8:00PM ET | BUY | 0.5103617898 | $1.3k |