0x0deb0ab208679012d8e23b30c0a3391914e621e8
- Realised P&L
- $-2.1k
- Volume
- $93.7k
- Markets traded
- 238
- Open portfolio
- $88.32
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-2.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded238
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration33.8% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)68.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration78.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Club Nacional de Football win on 2026-07-24? · Yes | 0.650 | 0.385 | $68.93 | −$47.45 |
| Will Marathon Petroleum (MPC) beat quarterly earnings? · Yes | 0.590 | 0.685 | $19.33 | +$2.68 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? · Yes | 0.012 | 0.001 | $0.06 | −$1.30 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$555.77at 0.751Solana Up or Down - July 26, 4AM ET
- +$467.54at 0.367Bitcoin Up or Down - July 31, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET
- +$316.23at 0.691Ethereum Up or Down - July 26, 1AM ET
- +$312.83at 0.626Bitcoin Up or Down - July 30, 6AM ET
- +$270.27at 0.812Solana Up or Down - July 26, 10AM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-01 19:15 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 1, 3PM ET | BUY | 0.4699999996 | $163.91 |
| 08-01 19:14 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 1, 3PM ET | BUY | 0.596695432 | $288.91 |
| 08-01 19:14 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 1, 3PM ET | BUY | 0.5660441791 | $711.09 |
| 08-01 18:35 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 1, 2PM ET | BUY | 0.0977785458 | $100.00 |
| 08-01 17:46 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 1, 1PM ET | BUY | 0.9852782179 | $244.14 |
| 08-01 17:41 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 1, 1PM ET | BUY | 0.9718221554 | $326.28 |
| 08-01 16:49 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 1, 12PM ET | BUY | 0.9352954635 | $100.00 |
| 08-01 15:14 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 1, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET | BUY | 0.8466413748 | $435.33 |
| 08-01 15:12 | Solana Up or Down - August 1, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET | BUY | 0.8333333333 | $100.00 |
| 08-01 15:12 | Solana Up or Down - August 1, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET | BUY | 0.8333333333 | $100.00 |
| 08-01 15:07 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 1, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET | BUY | 0.7833920877 | $100.00 |
| 08-01 15:06 | Solana Up or Down - August 1, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET | BUY | 0.8499999996 | $100.00 |
| 08-01 15:05 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 1, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET | BUY | 0.7594683721 | $100.00 |
| 08-01 13:48 | Ethereum Up or Down - August 1, 9AM ET | BUY | 0.7636935124 | $341.09 |
| 08-01 13:47 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 1, 9AM ET | BUY | 0.98 | $455.76 |