cvdd
0x0d2dd5829906f2d1c2e0db31652aa904e0d4ca38
- Realised P&L
- $991.01
- Volume
- $13.2k
- Markets traded
- 28
- Open portfolio
- $413.10
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- ClearEdge per dollar7.5%
- Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
- ClearMarkets traded28
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration18.2% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- CautionSettled sample18 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)88.9%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tampa Bay Rays vs. New York Yankees · Tampa Bay Rays | 0.450 | 0.405 | $413.10 | −$45.90 |
| Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes | 0.272 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$13.89 |
| Hawks vs. 76ers · 76ers | 0.520 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$312.00 |
| Pacers vs. Wizards · Pacers | 0.580 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$104.40 |
| Utah vs. Blue Jackets · Blue Jackets | 0.480 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$383.99 |
| Will West Ham United FC win on 2026-02-21? · Yes | 0.390 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$97.50 |
| Seahawks vs. Patriots · Patriots | 0.320 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$576.00 |
| Will Atalanta BC win on 2026-03-10? · Yes | 0.190 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$125.40 |
| Pittsburgh Pirates vs. St. Louis Cardinals · St. Louis Cardinals | 0.460 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$210.41 |
| Golden Knights vs. Stars · Golden Knights | 0.400 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$320.00 |
| Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Cincinnati Reds · Pittsburgh Pirates | 0.550 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$19.13 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$584.09at 0.410Tampa Bay Rays vs. New York Yankees
- +$540.60at 0.490Cleveland Guardians vs. Detroit Tigers
- +$365.40at 0.370Maple Leafs vs. Oilers
- +$244.19at 0.670Spurs vs. Thunder
- +$243.13at 0.530Baltimore Orioles vs. Tampa Bay Rays
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-31 06:52 | Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Cincinnati Reds | BUY | 0.55 | $19.13 |
| 06-30 01:27 | Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.2718043436 | $13.89 |
| 05-21 09:01 | Pittsburgh Pirates vs. St. Louis Cardinals | BUY | 0.46 | $210.41 |
| 05-19 06:34 | Baltimore Orioles vs. Tampa Bay Rays | BUY | 0.53 | $274.16 |
| 05-17 03:35 | Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-05-17? | BUY | 0.6 | $157.89 |
| 05-09 09:03 | Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 21°C on May 9? | SELL | 0.242707483 | $14.27 |
| 03-06 05:23 | Canadiens vs. Ducks | BUY | 0.51 | $198.90 |
| 02-20 13:36 | Will West Ham United FC win on 2026-02-21? | BUY | 0.39 | $48.75 |
| 02-19 15:53 | Pacers vs. Wizards | BUY | 0.58 | $104.40 |
| 02-19 07:32 | Hawks vs. 76ers | BUY | 0.52 | $312.00 |
| 02-05 07:03 | Seahawks vs. Patriots | BUY | 0.32 | $576.00 |
| 02-03 09:39 | Maple Leafs vs. Oilers | BUY | 0.37 | $7.40 |
| 02-03 09:38 | Maple Leafs vs. Oilers | BUY | 0.37 | $207.20 |
| 01-30 06:45 | Will Brighton & Hove Albion FC win on 2026-01-31? | BUY | 0.49 | $50.58 |
| 01-29 06:34 | Bucks vs. Wizards | BUY | 0.45 | $72.00 |