derekri
0x0d1730a4315f39aae3fb2dc995761cf35625eabd
- Realised P&L
- $-140.10
- Volume
- $1.2k
- Markets traded
- 13
- Open portfolio
- $24.38
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-11.3%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded13
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- CautionProfit concentration49.6% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- CautionSettled sample4 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration83.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Solana reach $90 in August? · Yes | 0.185 | 0.125 | $20.24 | −$9.76 |
| Will Solana dip to $70 by December 31, 2026? · No | 0.495 | 0.205 | $4.14 | −$5.86 |
| Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes | 0.336 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$10.00 |
| Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes | 0.073 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$10.00 |
| Will the price of Solana be between $70 and $80 on July 3? · Yes | 0.760 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$10.00 |
| Will the price of Solana be between $70 and $80 on July 2? · Yes | 0.900 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$10.00 |
| Will Solana reach $80 June 29-July 5? · No | 0.641 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$20.00 |
| Will Portugal win on 2026-06-17? · Yes | 0.650 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$20.00 |
| Will Ethereum reach $2,000 in June? · Yes | 0.150 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$100.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$27.46at 0.667Will Solana dip to $70 in July?
- +$13.81at 0.420Will Argentina win on 2026-07-07?
- +$7.20at 0.410Will Ghana win on 2026-06-17?
- +$6.95at 0.590Will England win on 2026-06-17?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-02 04:16 | Will Solana reach $90 in August? | BUY | 0.1852789684 | $30.00 |
| 07-30 15:29 | Will Solana dip to $70 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.4947915244 | $10.00 |
| 07-17 00:17 | Will Solana dip to $70 in July? | BUY | 0.5599999776 | $5.00 |
| 07-15 16:14 | Will Solana dip to $70 in July? | BUY | 0.6799999984 | $50.00 |
| 07-07 16:48 | Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.0729999934 | $10.00 |
| 07-07 16:48 | Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.3359999863 | $10.00 |
| 07-07 16:47 | Will Argentina win on 2026-07-07? | BUY | 0.4199999899 | $10.00 |
| 07-01 08:40 | Will the price of Solana be between $70 and $80 on July 3? | BUY | 0.7599999878 | $10.00 |
| 07-01 08:38 | Will the price of Solana be between $70 and $80 on July 2? | BUY | 0.9 | $10.00 |
| 07-01 08:36 | Will Solana reach $80 June 29-July 5? | BUY | 0.6413884136 | $20.00 |
| 06-17 19:26 | Will Ghana win on 2026-06-17? | BUY | 0.4099999836 | $5.00 |
| 06-17 19:23 | Will England win on 2026-06-17? | BUY | 0.5899999947 | $10.00 |
| 06-17 18:00 | Will Portugal win on 2026-06-17? | BUY | 0.6499999935 | $20.00 |
| 06-17 15:46 | Will Ethereum reach $2,000 in June? | BUY | 0.1499999989 | $100.00 |