davidlee75
0x0cf00d5a4baa27504da4b8a3fb91dd00f1804cde
- Realised P&L
- $-38.69
- Volume
- $2.7k
- Markets traded
- 115
- Open portfolio
- $15.96
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.4%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded115
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration70.5% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)60.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Jocelyn Benson win the 2026 Michigan Governor Democratic primary election? · Yes | 0.998 | 0.998 | $15.96 | −$0.01 |
| Will Alex Zdan be the Republican nominee for Senate in New Jersey? · Yes | 0.940 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$11.28 |
| Will JOLTS Job Openings be at least 7.2M in April? · No | 0.940 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$12.22 |
| Will MrBeast's next video get between 50 and 60 million views on week 1? · No | 0.960 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$12.48 |
| Will Andrea Martella win the 2026 Venice mayoral election? · Yes | 0.900 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$10.80 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$14.85at 0.010Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 20°C on June 9?
- +$13.72at 0.020Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on May 10?
- +$11.76at 0.020Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 12°C on May 8?
- +$1.35at 0.910Will White House post 160-179 posts from April 24 to May 1, 2026?
- +$1.26at 0.900Will Cait Conley be the Democratic nominee for NY-17?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-01 07:01 | Will Jocelyn Benson win the 2026 Michigan Governor Democratic primary election? | BUY | 0.998 | $15.97 |
| 07-04 00:46 | Will Aniya Harvey be eliminated from Love Island USA this week? | BUY | 0.98 | $12.74 |
| 06-29 02:44 | Will Trump meet with Kim Jong Un in June 2026? | BUY | 0.999 | $20.98 |
| 06-28 21:49 | Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 37°C or higher on June 29? | BUY | 0.98 | $12.74 |
| 06-28 05:43 | Will the highest temperature in London be 24°C on June 28? | BUY | 0.99 | $10.89 |
| 06-27 16:02 | Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 76-77°F on June 28? | BUY | 0.98 | $9.80 |
| 06-26 12:04 | Will the highest temperature in Paris be 40°C on June 27? | BUY | 0.986 | $14.79 |
| 06-25 12:53 | State of Siege declared in Chile by June 30? | BUY | 0.999 | $23.98 |
| 06-25 03:18 | Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be 78°F or higher on June 25? | BUY | 0.99 | $14.85 |
| 06-24 07:42 | Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 37°C on June 24? | BUY | 0.99 | $12.87 |
| 06-24 01:45 | Will Cait Conley be the Democratic nominee for NY-17? | SELL | 0.99 | $13.86 |
| 06-23 05:54 | Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 36°C or higher on June 23? | BUY | 0.99 | $10.89 |
| 06-23 05:37 | Will the highest temperature in London be 36°C on June 23? | BUY | 0.98 | $9.80 |
| 06-23 05:36 | Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 38°C on June 23? | BUY | 0.98 | $13.72 |
| 06-23 05:36 | Will the highest temperature in Milan be 37°C on June 23? | BUY | 0.98 | $10.78 |