KristoferBustos
0x0c2c7ed88ab6e5674f1aec29501fd3fe5b41f9ab
- Realised P&L
- $-62.15
- Volume
- $2.7k
- Markets traded
- 152
- Open portfolio
- $17.74
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-2.3%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded152
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration9.1% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)78.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration52.2% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? · No | 0.540 | 1.000 | $9.25 | +$4.25 |
| Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? · Yes | 0.360 | 0.345 | $4.79 | −$0.21 |
| Will Rebeca Grynspan be the next Secretary General of the United Nations? · Yes | 0.539 | 0.398 | $3.69 | −$1.31 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - August 1, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET · Down | 0.640 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$3.00 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - August 1, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET · Down | 0.700 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$4.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$10.83at 0.649Will Argentina win on 2026-06-22?
- +$9.61at 0.510US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
- +$7.38at 0.520Will Croatia win on 2026-06-27?
- +$7.18at 0.582Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
- +$6.53at 0.605Will France win on 2026-07-09?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-02 02:51 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 1, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET | BUY | 0.6999999825 | $4.00 |
| 08-02 02:48 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 1, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET | BUY | 0.8361536806 | $3.00 |
| 08-02 02:46 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 1, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET | BUY | 0.5899999272 | $3.00 |
| 08-02 02:41 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 1, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET | BUY | 0.64 | $3.00 |
| 08-02 02:36 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 1, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET | BUY | 0.5599999776 | $5.00 |
| 08-02 02:31 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 1, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET | BUY | 0.6599999505 | $4.00 |
| 08-02 02:24 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 1, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET | BUY | 0.7799999984 | $10.00 |
| 08-02 02:12 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 1, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET | BUY | 0.75 | $3.00 |
| 08-02 02:08 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 1, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET | BUY | 0.999 | $17.00 |
| 08-02 02:00 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 1, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET | BUY | 0.59999994 | $2.00 |
| 08-02 01:54 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 1, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET | SELL | 0.69 | $1.35 |
| 08-02 01:53 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 1, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET | BUY | 0.6099999786 | $2.00 |
| 08-02 01:51 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 1, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET | BUY | 0.5099998317 | $1.00 |
| 08-02 01:43 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 1, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET | BUY | 0.6799998912 | $1.00 |
| 08-02 01:37 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 1, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET | BUY | 0.5499999725 | $2.00 |