0x0c08b478449deff39d7938e14b9d28f6313c79ff
- Realised P&L
- $-598.27
- Volume
- $12.1k
- Markets traded
- 28
- Open portfolio
- $9.15
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-4.9%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded28
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration27.7% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- CautionSettled sample12 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Athletics vs. Cincinnati Reds · Athletics | 0.440 | 0.455 | $9.15 | +$0.30 |
| Bruins vs. Islanders · Islanders | 0.590 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.1k |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $88,000 on December 26? · Yes | 0.540 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$5.94 |
| Hurricanes vs. Sabres · Hurricanes | 0.630 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$252.00 |
| Kraken vs. Islanders · Kraken | 0.390 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$81.90 |
| Texas Rangers vs. Cleveland Guardians · Cleveland Guardians | 0.490 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$5.39 |
| Flyers vs. Lightning · Flyers | 0.360 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$111.60 |
| Ethereum Up or Down on February 8? · Down | 0.500 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$8.00 |
| Spurs vs. Trail Blazers · Trail Blazers | 0.520 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$213.20 |
| Pistons vs. Celtics · Pistons | 0.640 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$192.00 |
| Grizzlies vs. Pelicans · Pelicans | 0.420 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$264.60 |
| Spurs vs. Suns · Spurs | 0.460 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$138.00 |
| Flyers vs. Panthers · Panthers | 0.640 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$147.20 |
| Rockets vs. Warriors · Warriors | 0.480 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$288.00 |
| Ethereum Up or Down on January 10? · Up | 0.500 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$10.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$642.94at 0.390Bulls vs. Hornets
- +$275.00at 0.450Wild vs. Jets
- +$261.00at 0.550Red Wings vs. Devils
- +$239.70at 0.490Stars vs. Oilers
- +$224.20at 0.410Flames vs. Canucks
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-04 03:07 | Athletics vs. Cincinnati Reds | BUY | 0.44 | $8.84 |
| 05-27 04:55 | Canadiens vs. Hurricanes | BUY | 0.64 | $10.24 |
| 02-07 06:24 | Ethereum Up or Down on February 8? | BUY | 0.5 | $8.00 |
| 01-09 03:35 | Ethereum Up or Down on January 10? | BUY | 0.5 | $3.00 |
| 11-26 13:57 | Bulls vs. Hornets | BUY | 0.39 | $411.06 |
| 11-25 16:34 | Bruins vs. Islanders | BUY | 0.59 | $1.1k |
| 11-25 16:00 | Blues vs. Devils | BUY | 0.56 | $134.40 |
| 11-25 15:29 | Rockets vs. Warriors | BUY | 0.48 | $288.00 |
| 11-25 13:23 | Grizzlies vs. Pelicans | BUY | 0.42 | $264.60 |
| 11-25 12:55 | Pistons vs. Celtics | BUY | 0.64 | $192.00 |
| 11-24 14:07 | Flyers vs. Panthers | BUY | 0.64 | $147.20 |
| 11-24 12:49 | Stars vs. Oilers | BUY | 0.49 | $191.10 |
| 11-23 11:53 | Blue Jackets vs. Capitals | BUY | 0.59 | $265.50 |
| 11-23 09:30 | Red Wings vs. Devils | BUY | 0.55 | $319.00 |
| 11-23 08:33 | Flyers vs. Lightning | BUY | 0.36 | $50.40 |