ImGettingOnTheShips
0x0b8002dc1f9301b07ee12ee04ba81d193d9a657f
- Realised P&L
- $-22.3k
- Volume
- $1.15M
- Markets traded
- 179
- Open portfolio
- $1.7k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.9%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded179
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration9.2% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)38.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration40.1% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Baltimore Ravens win the 2027 NFL league championship? · Yes | 0.053 | 0.069 | $685.00 | +$155.00 |
| Will the Los Angeles Chargers win the 2027 NFL league championship? · Yes | 0.042 | 0.043 | $448.28 | +$8.46 |
| Will the Minnesota Vikings win the 2027 NFL league championship? · Yes | 0.019 | 0.018 | $295.74 | −$25.35 |
| Will the Cincinnati Bengals win the 2027 NFL league championship? · Yes | 0.035 | 0.043 | $214.49 | +$39.50 |
| Will the Milwaukee Brewers win the 2026 World Series? · Yes | 0.054 | 0.092 | $64.75 | +$26.95 |
| Will Thomas Massie be the Republican nominee for KY-04? · Yes | 0.372 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$2.9k |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$602.32at 0.508Spread: Browns (-2.5)
- +$300.33at 0.530Spread: Ravens (-2.5)
- +$299.52at 0.520Spread: Cowboys (-3.5)
- +$298.91at 0.537Spread: Patriots (-6.5)
- +$277.24at 0.420Commanders vs. Giants
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06-11 17:15 | Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? | SELL | 0.1 | $2.3k |
| 06-11 17:15 | Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? | SELL | 0.1 | $2.3k |
| 05-18 23:19 | Will Thomas Massie be the Republican nominee for KY-04? | BUY | 0.38 | $1.8k |
| 05-11 20:29 | Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? | SELL | 0.17 | $25.00 |
| 05-11 20:29 | Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? | SELL | 0.17 | $1.1k |
| 05-11 20:29 | Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? | SELL | 0.17 | $1.1k |
| 05-08 14:45 | Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? | SELL | 0.2 | $9.0k |
| 05-06 15:44 | Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? | BUY | 0.18 | $415.03 |
| 05-06 15:44 | Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? | BUY | 0.18 | $75.43 |
| 05-06 15:44 | Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? | BUY | 0.18 | $1.8k |
| 04-26 21:39 | Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? | SELL | 0.2 | $3.5k |
| 04-22 18:04 | Will the Baltimore Ravens win the 2027 NFL league championship? | BUY | 0.053 | $2.65 |
| 04-22 14:14 | Will the Edmonton Oilers win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup? | BUY | 0.09 | $45.57 |
| 04-02 20:11 | Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? | BUY | 0.17 | $23.4k |
| 04-01 01:45 | Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? | BUY | 0.17 | $13.2k |