0x0aeb5dde763a5feb9320fee8e69f7026a21a1eff
- Realised P&L
- $-76.88
- Volume
- $18.8k
- Markets traded
- 808
- Open portfolio
- $51.82
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.4%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded808
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration14.4% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)58.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration38.5% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$9.86at 0.350Bitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET
- +$8.18at 0.500Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 22°C or below on August 4?
- +$6.62at 0.331Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from April 13 to April 15, 2026?
- +$6.40at 0.680Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from March 23 to March 25, 2026?
- +$5.61at 0.152Bitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04-28 06:37 | Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from April 21 to April 28, 2026? | BUY | 0.3499999315 | $2.15 |
| 04-28 06:37 | Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from April 21 to April 28, 2026? | BUY | 0.32 | $1.54 |
| 04-27 12:08 | Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from April 25 to April 27, 2026? | BUY | 0.3269650563 | $1.58 |
| 04-24 06:13 | Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from April 17 to April 24, 2026? | BUY | 0.7319999761 | $3.57 |
| 04-24 06:00 | Will Donald Trump post 180-199 Truth Social posts from April 17 to April 24, 2026? | BUY | 0.5879999452 | $3.79 |
| 04-24 06:00 | Will Donald Trump post 200+ Truth Social posts from April 17 to April 24, 2026? | BUY | 0.600180966 | $3.79 |
| 04-22 12:03 | Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from April 20 to April 22, 2026? | BUY | 0.3 | $2.37 |
| 04-22 12:03 | Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from April 20 to April 22, 2026? | BUY | 0.3059999403 | $2.73 |
| 04-21 14:19 | Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from April 14 to April 21, 2026? | BUY | 0.1 | $1.37 |
| 04-21 11:16 | Will Donald Trump post 200+ Truth Social posts from April 14 to April 21, 2026? | BUY | 0.7889998227 | $3.88 |
| 04-21 07:50 | Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from April 14 to April 21, 2026? | BUY | 0.771999902 | $3.85 |
| 04-21 06:05 | Will Donald Trump post 180-199 Truth Social posts from April 14 to April 21, 2026? | BUY | 0.1699902123 | $3.63 |
| 04-17 09:41 | Will Donald Trump post 120-139 Truth Social posts from April 10 to April 17, 2026? | BUY | 0.74 | $3.60 |
| 04-15 12:05 | Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from April 13 to April 15, 2026? | BUY | 0.3309999619 | $3.16 |
| 04-14 06:26 | Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from April 7 to April 14, 2026? | BUY | 0.346 | $1.62 |