bonsmara
0x0aa33cd1db1adfd3c72fe59beca9c77d5fbc5ef3
- Realised P&L
- $1.05
- Volume
- $1.4k
- Markets traded
- 10
- Open portfolio
- $4.81
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded10
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration97.0% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample7 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)71.4%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration49.7% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Perry Johnson win the 2026 Michigan Governor Republican primary election? · No | 0.941 | 0.981 | $2.39 | +$0.10 |
| Will Christy Davis be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Kansas? · Yes | 0.024 | 0.015 | $1.23 | −$0.80 |
| Will Sandy Spidel Neumann be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Kansas? · No | 0.988 | 0.983 | $1.19 | −$0.01 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$2.30at 0.660Will AS Monaco FC win on 2026-02-13?
- +$0.03at 0.988Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on July 26?
- +$0.03at 0.985Will Bitcoin dip to $58,000 July 13-19?
- +$0.02at 0.992Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on July 27?
- +$0.00at 0.999Will Ousmane Dembélé win the Golden Ball at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-31 17:20 | Will Christy Davis be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Kansas? | BUY | 0.0240000004 | $2.03 |
| 07-31 17:19 | Will Perry Johnson win the 2026 Michigan Governor Republican primary election? | BUY | 0.9409996795 | $2.29 |
| 07-31 17:18 | Will Sandy Spidel Neumann be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Kansas? | BUY | 0.988 | $1.20 |
| 07-25 10:32 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on July 27? | BUY | 0.9919996889 | $1.99 |
| 07-25 10:31 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on July 26? | BUY | 0.988 | $2.35 |
| 07-15 15:12 | Will Ousmane Dembélé win the Golden Ball at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.9989999248 | $1.86 |
| 07-15 15:11 | Will Bitcoin dip to $58,000 July 13-19? | BUY | 0.985 | $1.67 |
| 02-12 13:48 | Will AS Monaco FC win on 2026-02-13? | BUY | 0.6599999764 | $4.47 |
| 01-01 09:25 | Will Kim Kardashian win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | SELL | 0.991 | $323.70 |
| 01-01 09:23 | Will Kim Kardashian win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | BUY | 0.992 | $324.03 |
| 12-27 16:41 | Will Brentford win the 2025–26 English Premier League? | SELL | 0.998 | $316.98 |
| 12-27 16:39 | Will Brentford win the 2025–26 English Premier League? | BUY | 0.999 | $317.31 |