0x0a9cce356ef231e85a4bb1d8264bacfc1c313a5d
- Realised P&L
- $-25.93
- Volume
- $3.4k
- Markets traded
- 395
- Open portfolio
- $8.64
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.8%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded395
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration22.2% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)70.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration18.1% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026? · No | 0.630 | 0.895 | $1.56 | +$0.46 |
| Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31? · No | 0.590 | 0.820 | $1.53 | +$0.43 |
| Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31? · No | 0.870 | 0.945 | $1.19 | +$0.09 |
| Will Solana reach $150 in August? · No | 0.998 | 0.997 | $1.10 | −$0.00 |
| Will Solana reach $130 in August? · No | 0.996 | 0.990 | $1.09 | −$0.01 |
| Will Solana reach $120 in August? · No | 0.996 | 0.983 | $1.09 | −$0.01 |
| Will Solana reach $100 in August? · No | 0.980 | 0.963 | $1.08 | −$0.02 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$1.65at 0.400US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
- +$1.45at 0.430Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 6PM ET
- +$1.10at 0.330Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by May 31st?
- +$0.59at 0.520Will Ethereum reach $1,700 on June 12?
- +$0.57at 0.480Will Solana dip to $80 on July 3?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-03 19:37 | Will Bitcoin dip to $62,000 on August 3? | BUY | 0.9919999567 | $1.10 |
| 08-03 18:54 | Will Bitcoin reach $66,000 on August 3? | BUY | 0.9819999982 | $1.10 |
| 08-03 14:54 | Will Bitcoin dip to $61,000 on August 3? | BUY | 0.99 | $1.10 |
| 08-03 14:15 | Will Ethereum dip to $1,500 in August? | SELL | 0.84 | $0.75 |
| 08-03 13:58 | Will Bitcoin reach $65,000 on August 3? | BUY | 0.9669997547 | $1.10 |
| 08-03 10:00 | Will Ethereum dip to $1,500 in August? | SELL | 0.84 | $0.02 |
| 08-03 09:57 | Will Ethereum dip to $1,600 in August? | SELL | 0.69 | $0.50 |
| 08-03 09:01 | Will Ethereum dip to $1,500 in August? | SELL | 0.83 | $0.02 |
| 08-03 05:54 | Will Ethereum dip to $1,500 in August? | SELL | 0.84 | $0.24 |
| 08-02 22:59 | Philadelphia Phillies vs. Baltimore Orioles | SELL | 0.999 | $0.99 |
| 08-02 22:48 | Philadelphia Phillies vs. Baltimore Orioles | SELL | 0.991 | $0.11 |
| 08-02 22:01 | Philadelphia Phillies vs. Baltimore Orioles | BUY | 0.999 | $1.10 |
| 08-02 09:25 | Will Bitcoin reach $66,000 on August 2? | BUY | 0.997 | $1.10 |
| 08-02 09:16 | Will Ethereum reach $2,000 on August 2? | BUY | 0.994 | $1.10 |
| 08-02 08:42 | Will Ethereum reach $2,050 on August 2? | BUY | 0.9889999919 | $1.10 |