JeromePower
0x0a664e286e61bf8e370e2c5e3e7a40605abcc4f4
- Realised P&L
- $-28.60
- Volume
- $37.7k
- Markets traded
- 19
- Open portfolio
- $42.32
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded19
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- CautionProfit concentration36.7% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- CautionSettled sample17 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)41.2%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration67.1% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the official USD to ARS exchange rate be 1600.00 or higher at the end of December 2026? · Yes | 0.648 | 0.660 | $28.38 | +$0.49 |
| Will the official USD to ARS exchange rate be less than 1600.00 at the end of December 2026? · Yes | 0.306 | 0.285 | $12.25 | −$0.93 |
| Obama divorce before 2027? · No | 0.890 | 0.963 | $1.69 | +$0.13 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$1.09at 0.974Jerome Powell in jail in 2025
- +$0.68at 0.526Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?
- +$0.37at 0.988Will Kamala Harris be inaugurated?
- +$0.29at 0.993Will Donald Trump be inaugurated?
- +$0.21at 0.983Will a Republican win Maryland Presidential Election?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03-26 01:05 | Obama divorce before 2027? | BUY | 0.89 | $1.56 |
| 03-26 01:04 | Will the official USD to ARS exchange rate be less than 1600.00 at the end of December 2026? | BUY | 0.3064418605 | $13.18 |
| 03-26 01:04 | Will the official USD to ARS exchange rate be 1600.00 or higher at the end of December 2026? | BUY | 0.6485162791 | $27.89 |
| 08-04 14:30 | Jerome Powell in jail in 2025 | BUY | 0.9744026317 | $41.53 |
| 02-22 17:23 | Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after March 2025 meeting? | BUY | 0.995 | $41.33 |
| 01-17 09:40 | Will Donald Trump be inaugurated? | BUY | 0.9929999999 | $41.04 |
| 01-17 09:40 | Will Kamala Harris be inaugurated? | SELL | 0.997 | $41.04 |
| 12-26 19:29 | Will Kamala Harris be inaugurated? | BUY | 0.9879999901 | $40.67 |
| 11-13 18:20 | Will the Patriots win Super Bowl 2025? | BUY | 0.997 | $40.55 |
| 11-03 17:07 | Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election? | SELL | 0.539 | $28.18 |
| 10-31 09:40 | Will a Republican win Maryland Presidential Election? | BUY | 0.9829999998 | $12.16 |
| 10-31 09:39 | Will the Commanders win Super Bowl 2025? | SELL | 0.969 | $6.81 |
| 10-04 11:06 | Will a candidate from another party win Nevada Presidential Election? | BUY | 0.003 | $5.35 |
| 09-10 14:34 | Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election? | BUY | 0.5259999992 | $27.50 |
| 09-10 14:33 | Will the Raiders win Super Bowl 2025? | SELL | 0.994 | $7.91 |