PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

dcf3

0x0a49d154ac2ef3eaeb3b3c3140c8a8cbf6952434

Realised P&L
$-54.10
Volume
$106.9k
Markets traded
37
Open portfolio
$53.48

Can you copy this trader?

unrealisticMultiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.1%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded37
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
BlockerProfit concentration67.0% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
ClearSettled sample31 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)83.9%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration91.2% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
06-28 17:26Will Xiaomi have the best Chinese AI model at the end of June 2026?BUY0.995$1.18
06-28 17:24Will Tencent have the best Chinese AI model at the end of June 2026?BUY0.9969999992$1.19
06-28 17:23Will ByteDance have the best Chinese AI model at the end of June 2026?BUY0.998$1.16
06-28 17:22Will Baidu have the best Chinese AI model at the end of June 2026?BUY0.9979997322$1.17
05-02 09:57Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 24°C on May 2?BUY0.995$1.12
05-02 09:55Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from April 30 to May 2, 2026?BUY0.999$1.12
05-02 09:54Will Meituan have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?BUY0.999$1.12
03-14 04:02Will Bitcoin dip to $62,000 March 9-15?BUY0.999$1.49
03-14 04:02Will Bitcoin reach $78,000 March 9-15?BUY0.984$1.00
03-14 04:02Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 March 9-15?BUY0.999$1.13
02-28 04:45Will Eric Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?BUY0.009$53.41
02-28 04:44Will the price of XRP be above $1.60 on February 28?BUY0.999$1.25
02-28 04:42Will the price of XRP be above $1.10 on February 28?BUY0.999$1.05
02-28 04:41Will the price of XRP be above $1.00 on February 28?BUY0.999$1.06
12-01 18:03Will MrBeast win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?BUY0.005$69.85