PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

Chandelier2000

0x0a44c8924aa2e865e543f1bcec32df2f9e2b4977

Realised P&L
$140.27
Volume
$42.7k
Markets traded
2,994
Open portfolio
$277.29

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.3%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
CautionMarkets traded2,994
High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
ClearProfit concentration12.4% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration7.3% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Nathan Willett be the Republican nominee for MO-06? · No0.9200.960$20.15+$0.83
Will Chris Stigall be the Republican nominee for MO-06? · Yes0.9300.954$20.02+$0.49
Will David Williams be the Republican nominee for Senate in Virginia? · No0.9900.988$19.75$0.05
Will Abdul El-Sayed win Wayne County in the Michigan Senate Democratic primary? · Yes0.9300.940$19.74+$0.21
Will Christina Hines be the Democratic Nominee for MI-10? · Yes0.9400.940$19.73$0.01
Will Diop Harris be the MI-04 Democratic nominee? · No0.9900.986$19.71$0.09
Will Sean McCann be the MI-04 Democratic nominee? · Yes0.9890.980$19.60$0.18
Will William Lawrence be the Democratic nominee for MI-07? · Yes0.9300.925$19.43$0.10
Will Ty Masterson win the 2026 Kansas Governor Republican primary election? · Yes0.9600.971$19.42+$0.22
Will Philip Sarnecki win the 2026 Kansas Governor Republican primary election? · No0.9600.971$19.41+$0.21
Will Perry Johnson win the 2026 Michigan Governor Republican primary election? · No0.9880.969$19.37$0.39
Will Bridget Brink be the Democratic nominee for MI-07? · No0.9610.953$19.06$0.16
Will Abdul El-Sayed win the Michigan Senate Democratic primary by 20–25%? · No0.9590.909$18.18$1.00
Will John James win the 2026 Michigan Governor Republican primary election? · Yes0.9880.962$9.62$0.26
Will FC Carl Zeiss Jena vs. Bayer Leverkusen end in a draw? · Yes0.9900.965$7.72$0.20

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-03 23:02Will Abdul El-Sayed win Wayne County in the Michigan Senate Democratic primary?BUY0.93$19.53
08-03 23:02Will Sean McCann be the MI-04 Democratic nominee?BUY0.989$19.78
08-03 23:02Will Diop Harris be the MI-04 Democratic nominee?BUY0.99$19.80
08-03 23:02Will Abdul El-Sayed win the Michigan Senate Democratic primary by 20–25%?BUY0.959$19.18
08-03 23:02Will William Lawrence be the Democratic nominee for MI-07?BUY0.93$19.53
08-03 23:02Will Bridget Brink be the Democratic nominee for MI-07?BUY0.961$19.22
08-03 23:02Will Nathan Willett be the Republican nominee for MO-06?BUY0.92$19.32
08-03 23:02Will Chris Stigall be the Republican nominee for MO-06?BUY0.93$19.53
08-03 23:02Will Christina Hines be the Democratic Nominee for MI-10?BUY0.94$19.74
08-03 23:02Will Perry Johnson win the 2026 Michigan Governor Republican primary election?BUY0.988$19.76
08-03 23:02Will John James win the 2026 Michigan Governor Republican primary election?BUY0.988$9.88
08-03 23:02Will Philip Sarnecki win the 2026 Kansas Governor Republican primary election?BUY0.96$19.20
08-03 23:02Will Ty Masterson win the 2026 Kansas Governor Republican primary election?BUY0.96$19.20
08-03 23:02Will Jeremy Moss be the Democratic nominee for MI-11?BUY0.949$5.69
08-03 21:43Ethereum Up or Down - August 3, 5:30PM-5:45PM ETBUY0.99$14.85