PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

0x0a3c73f8e790f2b1ab695a1bff17697ecf5c0511

Realised P&L
$1.6k
Volume
$93.6k
Markets traded
48
Open portfolio
$523.52

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

CautionEdge per dollar1.8%
Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
ClearMarkets traded48
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
BlockerProfit concentration64.9% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
ClearSettled sample45 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)77.8%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration54.0% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Israel withdraws from Lebanon by August 31, 2026? · No0.8900.985$282.78+$27.14
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1500? · Yes0.3570.355$205.90$1.40
Will Mark Kelly win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? · Yes0.0230.029$18.94+$3.82
US recognizes Reza Pahlavi as leader of Iran in 2026? · No0.7950.954$13.04+$2.17
Metamask FDV above $700M one day after launch? · Yes0.3520.071$2.86$11.23

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
07-20 13:26Will Andy Burnham be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?SELL0.999$110.60
07-20 13:26Will Andy Burnham be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?SELL0.999$209.79
07-07 03:59Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026?SELL0.58$958.36
07-07 03:05Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026?SELL0.57$39.90
07-07 03:01Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026?SELL0.59$3.73
07-07 03:01Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026?SELL0.58$4.23
07-07 03:01Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026?SELL0.58$4.26
07-07 03:00Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026?SELL0.58$3.65
07-07 03:00Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026?SELL0.58$3.67
07-07 03:00Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026?SELL0.58$3.66
07-07 03:00Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026?SELL0.58$3.65
07-07 03:00Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026?SELL0.58$1.88
07-07 02:07Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026?SELL0.58$21.15
06-30 19:56Iran leadership change by June 30?SELL0.998$79.84
06-28 22:03Netanyahu out by June 30?SELL0.997$239.28