-yanis-
0x09f800ae977a55cd7cb284c71143d28c1e4f2689
- Realised P&L
- $-6.4k
- Volume
- $23.5k
- Markets traded
- 21
- Open portfolio
- $795.58
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-27.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded21
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration39.0% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- CautionSettled sample14 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)50.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration56.3% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? · No | 0.860 | 0.925 | $447.76 | +$31.46 |
| Trump out as President before 2027? · No | 0.840 | 0.935 | $111.31 | +$11.31 |
| Will the Communist Party of the Russian Federation (KPRF) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? · Yes | 0.006 | 0.025 | $108.69 | +$83.69 |
| US military draft authorized in 2026? · No | 0.900 | 0.954 | $105.94 | +$5.94 |
| Will A Just Russia – For Truth (SRZP) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? · Yes | 0.004 | 0.004 | $21.88 | −$3.13 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET · Down | 0.010 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026? · No | 0.730 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$6.3k |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET · Down | 0.610 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$2.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$9.87at 0.936Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?
- +$7.10at 0.790Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
- +$3.31at 0.966Putin out as President of Russia by June 30?
- +$2.99at 0.969Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by June 30, 2026?
- +$1.93at 0.981Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by April 30, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06-30 08:34 | Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.8599999941 | $58.28 |
| 06-30 08:32 | Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.86 | $358.02 |
| 06-30 08:31 | Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? | SELL | 0.91 | $53.84 |
| 06-30 08:29 | Putin out as President of Russia by June 30? | SELL | 0.998 | $103.30 |
| 06-30 08:28 | Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30? | SELL | 0.999 | $156.35 |
| 06-30 08:28 | Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by June 30, 2026? | SELL | 0.998 | $102.98 |
| 05-11 15:25 | Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30? | BUY | 0.9499999903 | $44.10 |
| 05-11 15:13 | Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET | SELL | 0.02 | $0.13 |
| 05-11 15:11 | Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET | BUY | 0.2199998548 | $1.00 |
| 05-11 15:10 | Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET | BUY | 0.579999826 | $1.00 |
| 05-11 15:06 | Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET | BUY | 0.6099998597 | $1.00 |
| 05-11 15:05 | Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET | BUY | 0.6099998597 | $1.00 |
| 05-11 15:03 | Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET | BUY | 0.96 | $1.00 |
| 05-11 15:02 | Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET | SELL | 0.07 | $5.00 |
| 05-11 15:02 | Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET | BUY | 0.0699999874 | $5.00 |