PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

0x09f5a0888928c76653efe3565077eede179a6678

Realised P&L
$-205.49
Volume
$82.7k
Markets traded
159
Open portfolio
$14.99

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.2%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded159
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration40.8% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)40.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration51.0% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Stripe IPO before 2027? · No0.8490.987$7.64+$1.06
Reya FDV above $1B one day after launch? · Yes0.0080.008$5.25+$0.05
Anthropic IPO before 2027? · No0.4700.330$2.11$0.89
Ethereum Up or Down - March 30, 6PM ET · Up0.0010.000$0.00$2.26
Islanders vs. Sabres: O/U 4.5 · Under0.2300.000$0.00$3.75
Game 3: Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor? · Yes0.1790.000$0.00$2.17
Ethereum Up or Down - April 2, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET · Down0.2200.000$0.00$2.36
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 3, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET · Up0.5900.000$0.00$4.85
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 4, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET · Up0.2700.000$0.00$2.56
Ethereum Up or Down - March 31, 11AM ET · Down0.0570.000$0.00$1.18
Ethereum Up or Down - March 31, 8PM ET · Down0.0100.000$0.00$2.32
Ethereum Up or Down - March 30, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET · Up0.0020.000$0.00$0.33
Josh Allen x Hailee Steinfeld baby: Boy or Girl? · Boy0.0010.000$0.00$2.01
Trungelliti vs. Sakamoto: Match O/U 21.5 · Under0.0010.000$0.00$3.75
Ethereum Up or Down - March 30, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET · Up0.0060.000$0.00$1.04

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
04-17 16:18Will Genter Drummond win the 2026 Oklahoma Governor Republican primary election?SELL0.39$3.25
04-15 08:51Reya FDV above $200M one day after launch?SELL0.1$18.14
04-15 08:51OpenAI IPO closing market cap above $1.2T?SELL0.25$1.59
04-15 05:34Reya FDV above $300M one day after launch?SELL0.0272524669$1.13
04-13 10:48Will Cremonese be relegated from Serie A after the 2025-26 season?SELL0.01$0.06
04-13 00:41Will Ukraine re-enter Rodynske by April 30?SELL0.19$1.90
04-09 08:38Will Yang Seung-jo win the 2026 Chungcheongnam Province gubernatorial election?SELL0.6$3.05
04-08 01:32Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in April?SELL0.86$9.55
04-08 01:03Will Bitcoin hit $60k or $80k first?SELL0.47$2.39
04-07 21:03Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?SELL0.59$4.66
04-07 19:41Kraken IPO by December 31, 2026?SELL0.42$3.70
04-07 15:40Will Apple dip to $240 in April?SELL0.28$2.10
04-07 15:32Will Apple dip to $240 in April?BUY0.4$3.00
04-07 15:32Will Apple dip to $248 in April?BUY0.001$3.00
04-07 12:47Will OpenAI launch a new consumer hardware product by December 31, 2026?SELL0.38$2.85