0x09f5a0888928c76653efe3565077eede179a6678
- Realised P&L
- $-205.49
- Volume
- $82.7k
- Markets traded
- 159
- Open portfolio
- $14.99
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded159
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration40.8% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)40.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration51.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$39.17at 0.060Bitcoin Up or Down - April 1, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET
- +$35.77at 0.218Bitcoin Up or Down - April 2, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET
- +$13.52at 0.270Bitcoin Up or Down - March 31, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET
- +$7.33at 0.540Bitcoin Up or Down - April 5, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET
- +$7.18at 0.411Bitcoin Up or Down - April 1, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04-17 16:18 | Will Genter Drummond win the 2026 Oklahoma Governor Republican primary election? | SELL | 0.39 | $3.25 |
| 04-15 08:51 | Reya FDV above $200M one day after launch? | SELL | 0.1 | $18.14 |
| 04-15 08:51 | OpenAI IPO closing market cap above $1.2T? | SELL | 0.25 | $1.59 |
| 04-15 05:34 | Reya FDV above $300M one day after launch? | SELL | 0.0272524669 | $1.13 |
| 04-13 10:48 | Will Cremonese be relegated from Serie A after the 2025-26 season? | SELL | 0.01 | $0.06 |
| 04-13 00:41 | Will Ukraine re-enter Rodynske by April 30? | SELL | 0.19 | $1.90 |
| 04-09 08:38 | Will Yang Seung-jo win the 2026 Chungcheongnam Province gubernatorial election? | SELL | 0.6 | $3.05 |
| 04-08 01:32 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in April? | SELL | 0.86 | $9.55 |
| 04-08 01:03 | Will Bitcoin hit $60k or $80k first? | SELL | 0.47 | $2.39 |
| 04-07 21:03 | Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | SELL | 0.59 | $4.66 |
| 04-07 19:41 | Kraken IPO by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.42 | $3.70 |
| 04-07 15:40 | Will Apple dip to $240 in April? | SELL | 0.28 | $2.10 |
| 04-07 15:32 | Will Apple dip to $240 in April? | BUY | 0.4 | $3.00 |
| 04-07 15:32 | Will Apple dip to $248 in April? | BUY | 0.001 | $3.00 |
| 04-07 12:47 | Will OpenAI launch a new consumer hardware product by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.38 | $2.85 |