oscarmm
0x08bfa77ff84fa19e84f60c34c15d1c5c25f7d5bc
- Realised P&L
- $-38.87
- Volume
- $1.5k
- Markets traded
- 22
- Open portfolio
- $18.74
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-2.5%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded22
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration95.3% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample21 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)9.5%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration55.4% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Liquid Win the Stake Pulse Beat 1 tournament? · Yes | 0.621 | 0.519 | $10.38 | −$2.04 |
| Will Caroline Dubé win the 2026 Chicoutimi—Le Fjord by-election? · Yes | 0.440 | 0.405 | $8.10 | −$0.70 |
| Will Mohamed Salah join Al-Ittihad? · Yes | 0.072 | 0.014 | $0.26 | −$1.09 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$6.95at 0.191Will Lauri Saaskilahti Win the 2026 WSOP Main Event?
- +$0.34at 0.753Will Joao Cancelo join Barcelona?
- +$0.00at 0.500Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by September 30, 2026?
- +$0.00at 0.500Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by September 30, 2026?
- +$-0.20at 0.890Will Emiliano Martinez stay at Aston Villa?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-05 00:11 | Will Julian Alvarez stay at Atletico Madrid? | SELL | 0.55 | $3.83 |
| 08-04 02:18 | Will Mateus Simões win the 2026 Minas Gerais gubernatorial election? | SELL | 0.177 | $3.54 |
| 08-03 18:01 | Will United Bangsamoro Justice Party (UBJP) win the most seats in the 2026 BARMM Parliamentary Elections? | SELL | 0.45 | $9.00 |
| 08-03 18:01 | Will Rafael Leao stay at AC Milan? | SELL | 0.217 | $4.34 |
| 08-03 18:01 | Will Mohamed Salah join Real Madrid? | SELL | 0.02 | $0.40 |
| 08-03 14:01 | Will The Oscars win Emmys 2026: Outstanding variety special (live)? | SELL | 0.268538 | $5.37 |
| 08-03 10:00 | Will Joao Cancelo join Barcelona? | SELL | 0.77 | $15.39 |
| 08-03 06:44 | Will Bradley Barcola stay at Paris Saint-Germain? | SELL | 0.39 | $2.34 |
| 08-03 06:33 | Will Google be the #2 AI lab at the end of August 2026? | SELL | 0.29 | $5.80 |
| 08-03 06:33 | Will Bradley Barcola stay at Paris Saint-Germain? | SELL | 0.41 | $5.74 |
| 08-02 16:54 | Foreign intervention in Gaza by September 30? | SELL | 0.18 | $1.07 |
| 08-02 06:21 | Foreign intervention in Gaza by December 31? | SELL | 0.59 | $118.00 |