deigo049
0x08b1279e1bfd84387a7df89c3151026c732ff05b
- Realised P&L
- $-2.07
- Volume
- $8.9k
- Markets traded
- 36
- Open portfolio
- $37.02
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded36
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration17.5% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- CautionSettled sample28 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)75.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 36°C or higher on August 5? · Yes | 0.390 | 0.465 | $37.02 | +$5.97 |
| Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 24°C on June 13? · Yes | 0.018 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$22.97 |
| Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 25°C on June 13? · Yes | 0.041 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$14.00 |
| Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 28°C on June 17? · Yes | 0.010 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
| Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 26°C on June 13? · Yes | 0.129 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$10.00 |
| Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 32°C on August 4? · Yes | 0.040 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.40 |
| Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 23°C on June 13? · Yes | 0.007 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$4.00 |
| Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 33°C on August 4? · Yes | 0.120 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$4.45 |
| Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 25°C on June 14? · Yes | 0.154 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$9.50 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$35.02at 0.210Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 29°C on June 18?
- +$33.74at 0.341Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 26°C on June 14?
- +$32.38at 0.340Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 27°C on June 13?
- +$32.03at 0.470Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 28°C on June 15?
- +$14.13at 0.763Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 22°C on June 11?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-04 06:01 | Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 36°C or higher on August 5? | BUY | 0.39 | $31.05 |
| 08-04 05:42 | Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 31°C on August 4? | SELL | 0.61 | $1.84 |
| 08-04 05:41 | Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 31°C on August 4? | SELL | 0.6 | $3.00 |
| 08-04 05:40 | Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 31°C on August 4? | SELL | 0.6033333333 | $14.48 |
| 08-04 04:42 | Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 34°C on August 4? | SELL | 0.81 | $23.77 |
| 08-04 04:42 | Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 34°C on August 4? | SELL | 0.82 | $6.28 |
| 08-04 04:14 | Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 34°C on August 4? | BUY | 0.5064864865 | $18.74 |
| 08-03 23:17 | Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 33°C on August 4? | BUY | 0.12 | $4.45 |
| 08-03 23:16 | Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 32°C on August 4? | BUY | 0.04 | $1.40 |
| 08-03 22:56 | Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 33°C on August 4? | SELL | 0.19 | $6.33 |
| 08-03 07:00 | Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 33°C on August 4? | BUY | 0.38 | $12.65 |
| 08-03 05:55 | Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 36°C on August 3? | SELL | 0.94 | $9.82 |
| 08-03 05:38 | Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 24°C on August 3? | SELL | 0.49 | $3.21 |
| 08-03 05:23 | Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 24°C on August 3? | BUY | 0.3 | $1.96 |
| 08-03 05:01 | Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 36°C on August 3? | BUY | 0.94 | $7.52 |