PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

445ffgt

0x08937eed4f6040b3a078b46c5c7b05ea052e276e

Realised P&L
$-287.34
Volume
$19.2k
Markets traded
37
Open portfolio
$21.45

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-1.5%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded37
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration13.6% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample33 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)75.8%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration90.7% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Jesus Christ return before 2027? · No0.9630.981$19.46+$0.35
Will Saudi Aramco be the largest company in the world by market cap on September 30? · No0.9980.998$1.00+$0.00
Will Amazon be the largest company in the world by market cap on September 30? · No0.9980.993$0.99$0.01
Bowling vs. Eastern Michigan · Bowling0.4400.000$0.00$281.64

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-01 06:17Will Saudi Aramco be the largest company in the world by market cap on September 30?BUY0.998$1.00
08-01 06:17Will Amazon be the largest company in the world by market cap on September 30?BUY0.998$1.00
02-23 08:43Will the price of Solana be above $130 on February 26?BUY0.9969999994$3.60
02-23 08:43Will the price of Solana be above $120 on February 26?BUY0.9969999997$3.17
02-23 08:42Will the price of Solana be above $130 on February 25?BUY0.998$3.24
02-23 08:42Will the price of Solana be above $120 on February 25?BUY0.996$3.00
02-23 08:42Will the Los Angeles Clippers win the 2026 NBA Finals?BUY0.9869999978$2.25
02-23 08:42Will the Miami Heat win the 2026 NBA Finals?BUY0.985999999$2.00
02-23 08:38Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?BUY0.9629999846$19.11
02-23 07:46Will the New Orleans Pelicans win the 2026 NBA Finals?SELL0.998$41.59
11-08 08:58Bowling vs. Eastern MichiganBUY0.44$281.64
09-29 08:35Will the New Orleans Pelicans win the 2026 NBA Finals?BUY0.993$45.99
08-31 10:20Will Solana reach $230 in August?BUY0.991$45.57
07-17 07:47Will XRP reach $4.0 in July?SELL0.813$45.39
04-24 02:58Will Solana reach $300 in April?BUY0.998$54.32