445ffgt
0x08937eed4f6040b3a078b46c5c7b05ea052e276e
- Realised P&L
- $-287.34
- Volume
- $19.2k
- Markets traded
- 37
- Open portfolio
- $21.45
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.5%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded37
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration13.6% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample33 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)75.8%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration90.7% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Jesus Christ return before 2027? · No | 0.963 | 0.981 | $19.46 | +$0.35 |
| Will Saudi Aramco be the largest company in the world by market cap on September 30? · No | 0.998 | 0.998 | $1.00 | +$0.00 |
| Will Amazon be the largest company in the world by market cap on September 30? · No | 0.998 | 0.993 | $0.99 | −$0.01 |
| Bowling vs. Eastern Michigan · Bowling | 0.440 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$281.64 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$0.46at 0.598Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?
- +$0.45at 0.977Will Atalanta win the UEFA Champions League?
- +$0.41at 0.991Will Solana reach $230 in August?
- +$0.37at 0.988Will Juventus win the UEFA Champions League?
- +$0.24at 0.993Will the New Orleans Pelicans win the 2026 NBA Finals?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-01 06:17 | Will Saudi Aramco be the largest company in the world by market cap on September 30? | BUY | 0.998 | $1.00 |
| 08-01 06:17 | Will Amazon be the largest company in the world by market cap on September 30? | BUY | 0.998 | $1.00 |
| 02-23 08:43 | Will the price of Solana be above $130 on February 26? | BUY | 0.9969999994 | $3.60 |
| 02-23 08:43 | Will the price of Solana be above $120 on February 26? | BUY | 0.9969999997 | $3.17 |
| 02-23 08:42 | Will the price of Solana be above $130 on February 25? | BUY | 0.998 | $3.24 |
| 02-23 08:42 | Will the price of Solana be above $120 on February 25? | BUY | 0.996 | $3.00 |
| 02-23 08:42 | Will the Los Angeles Clippers win the 2026 NBA Finals? | BUY | 0.9869999978 | $2.25 |
| 02-23 08:42 | Will the Miami Heat win the 2026 NBA Finals? | BUY | 0.985999999 | $2.00 |
| 02-23 08:38 | Will Jesus Christ return before 2027? | BUY | 0.9629999846 | $19.11 |
| 02-23 07:46 | Will the New Orleans Pelicans win the 2026 NBA Finals? | SELL | 0.998 | $41.59 |
| 11-08 08:58 | Bowling vs. Eastern Michigan | BUY | 0.44 | $281.64 |
| 09-29 08:35 | Will the New Orleans Pelicans win the 2026 NBA Finals? | BUY | 0.993 | $45.99 |
| 08-31 10:20 | Will Solana reach $230 in August? | BUY | 0.991 | $45.57 |
| 07-17 07:47 | Will XRP reach $4.0 in July? | SELL | 0.813 | $45.39 |
| 04-24 02:58 | Will Solana reach $300 in April? | BUY | 0.998 | $54.32 |