.moar.766Dd-94077Cc94527BC6
0x077cc94527bc666599943423f0061778e8e98b1f
- Realised P&L
- $18.1k
- Volume
- $1.85M
- Markets traded
- 7,320
- Open portfolio
- $9.98
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar1.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded7,320
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- CautionProfit concentration34.8% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)12.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration55.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$18.0kat 0.006Will France win on 2026-06-22?
- +$16.0kat 0.029Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?
- +$9.1kat 0.016Will Portugal win on 2026-06-23?
- +$7.1kat 0.002Will Spain win on 2026-06-21?
- +$5.9kat 0.150Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-01 19:18 | Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 23°C on July 3? | SELL | 0.025 | $0.05 |
| 07-01 14:25 | Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 72-73°F on July 1? | BUY | 0.979 | $7.53 |
| 07-01 14:25 | Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 66-67°F on July 1? | BUY | 0.978 | $7.52 |
| 07-01 14:25 | Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 68-69°F on July 1? | BUY | 0.68 | $5.23 |
| 07-01 14:25 | Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 74-75°F on July 1? | BUY | 0.996 | $7.66 |
| 07-01 14:23 | Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from June 29 to July 1, 2026? | BUY | 0.39 | $3.90 |
| 07-01 14:23 | Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from June 29 to July 1, 2026? | BUY | 0.998 | $9.98 |
| 07-01 14:21 | Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 74-75°F on July 1? | BUY | 0.996 | $5.04 |
| 07-01 14:21 | Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 66-67°F on July 1? | BUY | 0.978 | $4.95 |
| 07-01 14:21 | Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 68-69°F on July 1? | BUY | 0.68 | $3.44 |
| 07-01 14:21 | Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 72-73°F on July 1? | BUY | 0.98 | $4.96 |
| 07-01 14:21 | Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 74-75°F on July 1? | BUY | 0.9959998909 | $3.03 |
| 07-01 14:21 | Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 72-73°F on July 1? | BUY | 0.9789999947 | $2.98 |
| 07-01 14:21 | Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 68-69°F on July 1? | BUY | 0.6799999343 | $2.07 |
| 07-01 14:21 | Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 66-67°F on July 1? | BUY | 0.9779999947 | $2.97 |