bpolw
0x075fd4a079e4e532970d596d9f127fd8aeccaacd
- Realised P&L
- $337.01
- Volume
- $37.6k
- Markets traded
- 227
- Open portfolio
- $3.6k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.9%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded227
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration31.7% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration17.7% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$27.06at 0.950Will the highest temperature in Chicago be 79°F or below on July 25?
- +$20.41at 0.961Will the highest temperature in Miami be 87°F or below on July 27?
- +$17.84at 0.965Will the highest temperature in Chicago be 77°F or below on July 31?
- +$16.46at 0.968Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be 96°F or higher on July 29?
- +$10.91at 0.880Will the highest temperature in Chicago be 87°F or below on July 17?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-04 13:44 | Will the highest temperature in Dallas be 93°F or below on August 5? | BUY | 0.998 | $54.71 |
| 08-04 13:00 | Will the highest temperature in Dallas be 93°F or below on August 5? | BUY | 0.998 | $79.59 |
| 08-04 12:56 | Will the highest temperature in New York City be 71°F or below on August 5? | BUY | 0.996 | $420.39 |
| 08-04 12:39 | Will the highest temperature in Dallas be 93°F or below on August 5? | BUY | 0.996 | $64.74 |
| 08-04 12:34 | Will the highest temperature in Dallas be 93°F or below on August 5? | BUY | 0.997 | $74.78 |
| 08-04 12:29 | Will the highest temperature in Dallas be 93°F or below on August 5? | BUY | 0.99 | $141.45 |
| 08-04 10:56 | Will the highest temperature in Chicago be 75°F or below on August 5? | BUY | 0.8462641854 | $501.12 |
| 08-04 10:56 | Will the highest temperature in Chicago be 75°F or below on August 5? | BUY | 0.75 | $55.88 |
| 08-04 08:44 | Will the highest temperature in Denver be 94°F or higher on August 5? | BUY | 0.997 | $490.59 |
| 08-04 05:44 | Will the highest temperature in Denver be 71°F or below on August 4? | BUY | 0.998 | $162.08 |
| 08-04 04:29 | Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be 65°F or below on August 5? | BUY | 0.99 | $3.76 |
| 08-04 04:28 | Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be 65°F or below on August 5? | BUY | 0.99 | $75.24 |
| 08-04 04:14 | Will the highest temperature in Dallas be 93°F or below on August 5? | BUY | 0.998 | $80.09 |
| 08-04 04:09 | Will the highest temperature in New York City be 90°F or higher on August 5? | BUY | 0.995 | $79.60 |
| 08-04 01:05 | Will the highest temperature in Houston be 87°F or below on August 5? | BUY | 0.99 | $4.64 |