0x071a1c56cfc7b52c2141c6ec170610d8de9bfc34
- Realised P&L
- $-8.41
- Volume
- $292.15
- Markets traded
- 67
- Open portfolio
- $9.43
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-2.9%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded67
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration16.7% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)66.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration51.2% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes | 0.582 | 1.000 | $4.83 | +$2.02 |
| Will Milan win the 2026-27 UEFA Europa League Championship? · Yes | 0.100 | 0.210 | $2.10 | +$1.10 |
| Will Juventus win the 2026-27 UEFA Europa League Championship? · Yes | 0.200 | 0.180 | $1.80 | −$0.20 |
| Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? · Yes | 0.311 | 0.220 | $0.71 | −$0.29 |
| Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes | 0.416 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$3.00 |
| Will Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes | 0.472 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$2.50 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$3.76at 0.210Will Belgium vs. IR Iran end in a draw?
- +$3.69at 0.709Argentina vs. Cabo Verde: Team to Advance
- +$1.98at 0.557Spain vs. Belgium: O/U 2.5
- +$1.36at 0.660England vs. DR Congo: England O/U 1.5
- +$1.33at 0.430Will Norway win on 2026-06-22?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-16 08:00 | Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.4159999456 | $3.00 |
| 07-15 21:31 | Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | BUY | 0.3109997938 | $1.00 |
| 07-15 21:20 | Will Kylian Mbappe be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | SELL | 0.34 | $2.23 |
| 07-15 19:36 | Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.5819999971 | $2.81 |
| 07-12 14:54 | France vs. Spain: Team to Advance | BUY | 0.59999994 | $2.00 |
| 07-12 14:54 | England vs. Argentina: Team to Advance | BUY | 0.4499997975 | $1.00 |
| 07-11 22:40 | Will Max Holloway win by KO or TKO? | BUY | 0.4899998285 | $1.00 |
| 07-11 10:34 | Will Juventus win the 2026-27 UEFA Europa League Championship? | BUY | 0.2 | $2.00 |
| 07-11 10:34 | Will Milan win the 2026-27 UEFA Europa League Championship? | BUY | 0.1 | $1.00 |
| 07-11 10:32 | Norway vs. England: Team to Advance | BUY | 0.354999937 | $2.00 |
| 07-10 21:03 | Norway vs. England: O/U 2.5 | SELL | 0.56 | $2.52 |
| 07-10 14:39 | Norway vs. England: O/U 2.5 | BUY | 0.5549999634 | $2.50 |
| 07-10 14:39 | Spain vs. Belgium: O/U 2.5 | BUY | 0.5574999186 | $2.50 |
| 07-09 20:04 | France vs. Morocco: Team to Advance | BUY | 0.2249998481 | $1.00 |
| 07-08 15:34 | Spread: Argentina (-1.5) | BUY | 0.7099999432 | $1.00 |