PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

AliciaBrown5622

0x06cd3bb4513c5c0444b3693ca9a6f039ae66e124

Realised P&L
$377.84
Volume
$87.5k
Markets traded
248
Open portfolio
$534.49

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.4%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded248
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration28.2% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)66.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration46.0% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Jabarie Walker be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Louisiana? · No0.5401.000$246.00+$113.16
Will Trump pardon Elon Musk before 2027? · No0.9470.986$111.42+$4.42
Over $600M raised on Coinbase in 2026? · Yes0.6900.270$102.60$159.60
AI bubble burst in 2026? · No0.6500.824$34.59+$7.29
Will Iran withdraw from the NPT before 2027? · No0.6700.851$19.65+$4.17
Israel and Syria normalize relations by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.2700.125$10.75$12.47
Will Solstice launch a token by December 31 2026? · Yes0.9191.000$3.00+$0.24
Mitch McConnell steps down from Senate before his term ends? · No0.7700.715$2.86$0.22
Will Tempo launch a token by September 30, 2026? · No0.6100.986$1.97+$0.75
Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel? · No0.6200.935$0.94+$0.32
Will Bitcoin have the best performance in 2026? · Yes0.4200.145$0.72$1.38
Will Jake Paul walk out to Paper Planes by M.I.A.? · Yes0.5000.000$0.00$5.00
Will Wunmi Mosaku be nominated for Best Supporting Actress at the 98th Academy Awards? · No0.3500.000$0.00$111.51
Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2025? · Yes0.0700.000$0.00$1.54
Will Israel strike Gaza on December 7? · Yes0.5600.000$0.00$5.60

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
02-08 16:40Will Scott Wiener receive the most votes in the CA-11 primary?SELL0.39$1.95
01-11 14:06Will Jabarie Walker be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Louisiana?SELL0.44$6.60
01-11 09:28Will the Milwaukee Bucks make the NBA Playoffs?SELL0.66$262.68
01-11 08:16Will the Milwaukee Bucks make the NBA Playoffs?BUY0.68$270.64
01-11 00:09Will Tempo launch a token by March 31, 2026?BUY0.782$495.01
01-10 19:40Will Ken Paxton come in 2nd in the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?SELL0.68$3.40
01-10 19:32Will Supha Xayprasith-Mays win the 2026 Arkansas Governor Democratic primary election?SELL0.83$340.30
01-10 17:46Will Russia enter Borova by March 31?SELL0.58$5.80
01-10 15:47Will the US strike Somalia next?SELL0.42$28.05
01-10 13:39Celonis IPO before 2027?SELL0.69$168.36
01-10 12:56Will Supha Xayprasith-Mays win the 2026 Arkansas Governor Democratic primary election?BUY0.87$529.83
01-10 12:51Celonis IPO before 2027?BUY0.69$168.36
01-10 10:31Will Jabarie Walker be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Louisiana?BUY0.54$140.94
01-10 10:10Will Iran withdraw from the NPT before 2027?SELL0.74$8.88
01-10 10:08Will Iran withdraw from the NPT before 2027?SELL0.74$39.22