0x7DE6453DC526985877d407C27a5E26AC8c5e5464-1772364093471
0x06aeee239aa8c4840e9ce4d47746a5343c073c7d
- Realised P&L
- $271.79
- Volume
- $37.9k
- Markets traded
- 16
- Open portfolio
- $23.76
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.7%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded16
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration51.8% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample13 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)46.2%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Jonathan Hofeller be on-stage at a bell ceremony commemorating SpaceX's IPO? · Yes | 0.058 | 0.211 | $23.76 | +$17.19 |
| Colombia to score first vs. Switzerland? · Yes | 0.001 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$10.00 |
| Spain vs. Argentina: Team to Advance · Argentina | 0.395 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$20.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$194.05at 0.060Will Argentina vs. Cabo Verde end in a draw?
- +$75.03at 0.520England vs. Argentina: Both Teams to Score
- +$69.73at 0.400Argentina vs. Egypt: Both Teams to Score
- +$30.48at 0.900Exact Score: England 1 - 2 Argentina?
- +$5.00at 0.180Bitcoin Up or Down - July 16, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-31 20:44 | Will Jonathan Hofeller be on-stage at a bell ceremony commemorating SpaceX's IPO? | SELL | 0.023 | $0.03 |
| 07-19 21:03 | Will Argentina win on 2026-07-19? | SELL | 0.08 | $9.63 |
| 07-19 19:46 | Will Argentina win on 2026-07-19? | BUY | 0.2274999944 | $27.40 |
| 07-19 19:12 | Spain vs. Argentina: Team to Advance | BUY | 0.3949999911 | $20.00 |
| 07-19 19:11 | Spain vs. Argentina: Team to Advance | SELL | 0.4 | $19.16 |
| 07-19 19:03 | Spain vs. Argentina: Team to Advance | BUY | 0.4174999932 | $20.00 |
| 07-18 21:55 | Will England win on 2026-07-18? | SELL | 0.969 | $297.15 |
| 07-18 21:49 | Will England win on 2026-07-18? | BUY | 0.9749999988 | $299.00 |
| 07-16 12:58 | Will Jonathan Hofeller be on-stage at a bell ceremony commemorating SpaceX's IPO? | BUY | 0.0583022664 | $6.63 |
| 07-16 12:49 | Bitcoin Up or Down - July 16, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET | BUY | 0.01 | $5.00 |
| 07-16 12:33 | Bitcoin Up or Down - July 16, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET | SELL | 0.36 | $10.00 |
| 07-16 12:33 | Bitcoin Up or Down - July 16, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET | BUY | 0.1799999755 | $5.00 |
| 07-15 21:03 | Exact Score: England 1 - 2 Argentina? | SELL | 0.999 | $307.59 |
| 07-15 20:59 | Exact Score: England 1 - 2 Argentina? | BUY | 0.9 | $277.11 |
| 07-15 20:49 | England vs. Argentina: Both Teams to Score | SELL | 0.999 | $200.78 |