0x065f127ccf189611b7bbc623dbfee5a8a3f4ecd1
- Realised P&L
- $400.20
- Volume
- $14.0k
- Markets traded
- 33
- Open portfolio
- $9.15
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar2.9%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- ClearMarkets traded33
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration27.5% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- CautionSettled sample16 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Athletics vs. Cincinnati Reds · Athletics | 0.440 | 0.455 | $9.15 | +$0.30 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $88,000 on December 26? · Yes | 0.540 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$7.56 |
| Texas Rangers vs. Cleveland Guardians · Cleveland Guardians | 0.490 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$9.80 |
| Clippers vs. Lakers · Clippers | 0.260 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$195.00 |
| Panthers vs. Predators · Predators | 0.370 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$218.30 |
| Canadiens vs. Hurricanes · Canadiens | 0.360 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$5.08 |
| Flyers vs. Lightning · Flyers | 0.350 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$98.00 |
| Spurs vs. Trail Blazers · Trail Blazers | 0.520 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$296.40 |
| Blues vs. Devils · Blues | 0.440 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$118.80 |
| Grizzlies vs. Kings · Kings | 0.460 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$289.80 |
| Grizzlies vs. Pelicans · Pelicans | 0.420 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$302.40 |
| Lightning vs. Canadiens · Lightning | 0.520 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$10.60 |
| Flames vs. Lightning · Flames | 0.350 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$157.50 |
| Rangers vs. Bruins · Bruins | 0.460 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$368.00 |
| Red Wings vs. Devils · Red Wings | 0.440 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$189.20 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$829.92at 0.480Ducks vs. Blackhawks
- +$360.00at 0.500Senators vs. Blues
- +$280.00at 0.500Magic vs. 76ers
- +$278.80at 0.590Spurs vs. Timberwolves
- +$211.20at 0.560Senators vs. Kings
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-04 03:07 | Athletics vs. Cincinnati Reds | BUY | 0.44 | $8.84 |
| 11-29 16:26 | Ducks vs. Blackhawks | BUY | 0.48 | $766.08 |
| 11-29 15:32 | Grizzlies vs. Kings | BUY | 0.46 | $289.80 |
| 11-27 14:41 | Flyers vs. Islanders | BUY | 0.46 | $120.06 |
| 11-27 13:13 | Senators vs. Blues | BUY | 0.5 | $360.00 |
| 11-27 12:32 | Rangers vs. Bruins | BUY | 0.46 | $368.00 |
| 11-26 13:24 | Wizards vs. Pacers | BUY | 0.66 | $58.08 |
| 11-26 12:22 | Bucks vs. Knicks | BUY | 0.27 | $140.40 |
| 11-25 15:28 | Rockets vs. Warriors | BUY | 0.48 | $206.40 |
| 11-25 14:12 | Spurs vs. Trail Blazers | BUY | 0.52 | $296.40 |
| 11-25 13:17 | Grizzlies vs. Pelicans | BUY | 0.42 | $302.40 |
| 11-25 12:33 | Pistons vs. Celtics | BUY | 0.36 | $100.80 |
| 11-24 14:06 | Flyers vs. Panthers | BUY | 0.36 | $104.40 |
| 11-24 13:44 | Flames vs. Lightning | BUY | 0.35 | $136.50 |
| 11-23 12:35 | Senators vs. Kings | BUY | 0.56 | $268.80 |