0x062512363aC264098C60c822f3d80Bd21C75F100-1768794365819
0x062512363ac264098c60c822f3d80bd21c75f100
- Realised P&L
- $-387.37
- Volume
- $13.0k
- Markets traded
- 22
- Open portfolio
- $97.50
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-3.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded22
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration29.5% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- CautionSettled sample20 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)40.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will US withdraw from NATO before 2027? · Yes | 0.105 | 0.033 | $97.50 | −$217.48 |
| Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-05-09? · Yes | 0.420 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$10.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$150.00at 0.700Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?
- +$110.67at 0.740Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $90 by end of March?
- +$96.08at 0.510Bitcoin Up or Down - March 14, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET
- +$92.98at 0.810Will there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide by January 25?
- +$30.24at 0.897Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05-09 14:05 | Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-05-09? | BUY | 0.4199999899 | $10.00 |
| 04-04 21:52 | Will US withdraw from NATO before 2027? | BUY | 0.1 | $100.00 |
| 04-04 04:54 | Will US withdraw from NATO before 2027? | BUY | 0.097 | $83.95 |
| 03-14 13:13 | Bitcoin Up or Down - March 14, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET | BUY | 0.5099999985 | $96.88 |
| 03-14 13:05 | Bitcoin Up or Down - March 14, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET | BUY | 0.8499999996 | $99.19 |
| 03-07 02:31 | Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $90 by end of March? | SELL | 0.998 | $428.11 |
| 03-06 09:24 | Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $90 by end of March? | BUY | 0.7399999999 | $317.44 |
| 02-06 19:22 | Will there be 8 or more earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide by June 30? | BUY | 0.5099999934 | $17.69 |
| 02-06 06:46 | US strikes Iran by February 6, 2026? | SELL | 0.023 | $2.30 |
| 02-06 06:46 | US strikes Iran by February 13, 2026? | SELL | 0.12 | $15.40 |
| 02-05 13:44 | Will there be 8 or more earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide by June 30? | BUY | 0.5099999917 | $20.38 |
| 02-01 15:24 | Will Carlos Alcaraz win the 2026 Australian Open? | SELL | 0.999 | $20.38 |
| 01-30 15:04 | Will Carlos Alcaraz win the 2026 Australian Open? | BUY | 0.7399999896 | $4.27 |
| 01-30 15:04 | Will Carlos Alcaraz win the 2026 Australian Open? | BUY | 0.7406582365 | $10.84 |
| 01-30 14:54 | Ethereum Up or Down - January 30, 9AM ET | BUY | 0.14 | $4.90 |