0x0612759a897674be8759a427a19d6db78966515c
- Realised P&L
- $-7.53
- Volume
- $344.99
- Markets traded
- 12
- Open portfolio
- $0.23
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-2.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded12
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration100.0% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample1 position
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Aster reach $2.20 by December 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.160 | 0.045 | $0.23 | −$0.57 |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in March? · Yes | 0.037 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$0.92 |
| Will NVIDIA reach $216 in March? · Yes | 0.010 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$0.15 |
| US x Iran ceasefire by April 7? · No | 0.025 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$0.87 |
| Will Solstice launch a token by September 30 2026? · No | 0.102 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$0.51 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on March 22? · No | 0.012 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.42 |
| Will Harvey Weinstein be sentenced to less than 5 years in prison? · Yes | 0.040 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
| Will Silver (SI) settle at $100-$115 in June? · Yes | 0.100 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
| EdgeX FDV above $2B one day after launch? · Yes | 0.010 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$0.15 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on March 21? · No | 0.100 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.05 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in March? · Yes | 0.010 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$0.65 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$0.77at 0.205Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in March?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03-28 05:40 | Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in March? | SELL | 0.354 | $1.77 |
| 03-27 18:41 | Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in March? | BUY | 0.205 | $1.02 |
| 03-27 16:40 | Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in March? | BUY | 0.186 | $0.93 |