0x05EA2Bb66B21F1C420392D71C69053A4110cc2ad-1733943436030
0x05ea2bb66b21f1c420392d71c69053a4110cc2ad
- Realised P&L
- $-555.21
- Volume
- $34.7k
- Markets traded
- 8
- Open portfolio
- $2.79
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.6%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded8
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration100.0% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample5 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)20.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Carole Delga win the 2027 French presidential election? · Yes | 0.003 | 0.002 | $2.79 | −$2.21 |
| Ethereum Up or Down - December 16, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET · Down | 0.065 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$28.00 |
| Will Donald Trump be TIME's Person of the Year for 2024? · No | 0.018 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$458.20 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$3.50at 0.340Bitcoin Up or Down - December 15, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET
- +$-2.82at 0.015Will Takehiro Hira be nominated for Best Supporting Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?
- +$-4.61at 0.003Will Mathilde Panot win the 2027 French presidential election?
- +$-7.41at 0.020Will Addison Rae win Best New Artist at the 68th Annual GRAMMY Awards?
- +$-55.44at 0.181Megaquake by December 31?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12-16 14:29 | Ethereum Up or Down - December 16, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET | BUY | 0.01 | $2.50 |
| 12-16 14:29 | Will Mathilde Panot win the 2027 French presidential election? | SELL | 0.001 | $2.39 |
| 12-16 14:23 | Ethereum Up or Down - December 16, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET | BUY | 0.0599999784 | $2.50 |
| 12-16 14:23 | Ethereum Up or Down - December 16, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET | BUY | 0.0514285555 | $3.00 |
| 12-16 14:22 | Will Addison Rae win Best New Artist at the 68th Annual GRAMMY Awards? | SELL | 0.0051038833 | $2.59 |
| 12-16 14:22 | Will Takehiro Hira be nominated for Best Supporting Actor at the 98th Academy Awards? | SELL | 0.0066259363 | $2.18 |
| 12-16 14:22 | Ethereum Up or Down - December 16, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET | BUY | 0.25 | $20.00 |
| 12-16 03:50 | Bitcoin Up or Down - December 15, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET | SELL | 0.41 | $20.50 |
| 12-16 03:48 | Bitcoin Up or Down - December 15, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET | BUY | 0.34 | $17.00 |
| 12-10 17:23 | Will Mathilde Panot win the 2027 French presidential election? | BUY | 0.002928836 | $7.00 |
| 12-10 17:23 | Will Carole Delga win the 2027 French presidential election? | BUY | 0.0026922152 | $5.00 |
| 12-10 17:21 | Will Takehiro Hira be nominated for Best Supporting Actor at the 98th Academy Awards? | BUY | 0.015224176 | $5.00 |
| 12-10 17:20 | Will Addison Rae win Best New Artist at the 68th Annual GRAMMY Awards? | BUY | 0.0197120076 | $10.00 |
| 12-10 17:08 | Megaquake by December 31? | SELL | 0.0808243084 | $44.55 |
| 12-10 00:50 | Megaquake by December 31? | BUY | 0.1814033017 | $100.00 |