PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

0x05b9c2516d81b7F5a5A9Ca37766Bc30b5DC00E6d-1779687024587

0x05b9c2516d81b7f5a5a9ca37766bc30b5dc00e6d

Realised P&L
$159.98
Volume
$5.7k
Markets traded
84
Open portfolio
$0.05

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

CautionEdge per dollar2.8%
Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
ClearMarkets traded84
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration9.1% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample46 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)87.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 98-99°F on August 3? · Yes0.2110.001$0.05$22.15
Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 96-97°F on August 1? · Yes0.3500.000$0.00$6.68
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 76-77°F on June 8? · Yes0.4640.000$0.00$5.82
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 92-93°F on July 16? · Yes0.0800.000$0.00$2.50
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 70-71°F on June 15? · No0.6500.000$0.00$14.25
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 94-95°F on June 12? · Yes0.1600.000$0.00$2.23
Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 70-71°F on June 11? · Yes0.2480.000$0.00$2.35
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 90-91°F on July 19? · No0.7500.000$0.00$27.40
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 82-83°F on July 8? · Yes0.2800.000$0.00$14.66
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 92-93°F on June 11? · Yes0.3100.000$0.00$3.60
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be 96°F or higher on June 10? · Yes0.0800.000$0.00$2.22
Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 100-101°F on July 30? · No0.7600.000$0.00$10.00
Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 98-99°F on July 28? · Yes0.1000.000$0.00$2.00
Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 94-95°F on July 18? · No0.4960.000$0.00$17.50
Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 94-95°F on July 29? · Yes0.0430.000$0.00$2.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-03 19:30Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 98-99°F on August 3?BUY0.059999946$1.00
08-03 17:08Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 98-99°F on August 3?BUY0.3776841905$9.20
08-03 11:14Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 98-99°F on August 3?BUY0.1868852342$12.00
08-02 20:30Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 98-99°F on August 2?BUY0.16$3.00
08-02 20:11Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 98-99°F on August 2?BUY0.4599999595$5.00
08-02 20:06Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 98-99°F on August 2?BUY0.4399999648$5.00
08-01 18:21Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 100-101°F on August 1?SELL0.95$5.41
08-01 17:06Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 96-97°F on August 1?BUY0.5404873902$2.00
08-01 11:07Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 98-99°F on August 1?BUY0.4399998533$1.08
08-01 11:06Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 96-97°F on August 1?BUY0.3$1.08
08-01 11:06Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 96-97°F on August 1?BUY0.3057533799$3.60
08-01 11:05Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 100-101°F on August 1?BUY0.7399999965$16.83
07-31 22:33Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 98-99°F on July 31?BUY0.529999965$5.00
07-31 21:55Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 98-99°F on July 31?SELL0.56$3.63
07-31 21:46Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 98-99°F on July 31?SELL0.5161609549$13.40
Trader 0x05b9c2516d81b7F5a5A9Ca37766Bc30b5DC00E6d-1779687024587 · PolyBot