0x05b9c2516d81b7F5a5A9Ca37766Bc30b5DC00E6d-1779687024587
0x05b9c2516d81b7f5a5a9ca37766bc30b5dc00e6d
- Realised P&L
- $159.98
- Volume
- $5.7k
- Markets traded
- 84
- Open portfolio
- $0.05
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar2.8%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- ClearMarkets traded84
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration9.1% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample46 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)87.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$57.30at 0.337Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 98-99°F on July 29?
- +$51.33at 0.461Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 84-85°F on July 21?
- +$39.45at 0.607Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 90-91°F on July 22?
- +$39.09at 0.380Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 92-93°F on July 25?
- +$34.89at 0.587Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 86-87°F on July 23?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-03 19:30 | Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 98-99°F on August 3? | BUY | 0.059999946 | $1.00 |
| 08-03 17:08 | Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 98-99°F on August 3? | BUY | 0.3776841905 | $9.20 |
| 08-03 11:14 | Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 98-99°F on August 3? | BUY | 0.1868852342 | $12.00 |
| 08-02 20:30 | Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 98-99°F on August 2? | BUY | 0.16 | $3.00 |
| 08-02 20:11 | Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 98-99°F on August 2? | BUY | 0.4599999595 | $5.00 |
| 08-02 20:06 | Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 98-99°F on August 2? | BUY | 0.4399999648 | $5.00 |
| 08-01 18:21 | Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 100-101°F on August 1? | SELL | 0.95 | $5.41 |
| 08-01 17:06 | Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 96-97°F on August 1? | BUY | 0.5404873902 | $2.00 |
| 08-01 11:07 | Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 98-99°F on August 1? | BUY | 0.4399998533 | $1.08 |
| 08-01 11:06 | Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 96-97°F on August 1? | BUY | 0.3 | $1.08 |
| 08-01 11:06 | Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 96-97°F on August 1? | BUY | 0.3057533799 | $3.60 |
| 08-01 11:05 | Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 100-101°F on August 1? | BUY | 0.7399999965 | $16.83 |
| 07-31 22:33 | Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 98-99°F on July 31? | BUY | 0.529999965 | $5.00 |
| 07-31 21:55 | Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 98-99°F on July 31? | SELL | 0.56 | $3.63 |
| 07-31 21:46 | Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 98-99°F on July 31? | SELL | 0.5161609549 | $13.40 |