ekimoz
0x04e1fb6de7e3ff34a29ebc0384483419ac09f959
- Realised P&L
- $8.01
- Volume
- $2.9k
- Markets traded
- 11
- Open portfolio
- $153.03
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.3%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded11
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration63.1% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample4 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)50.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration57.7% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes | 0.170 | 1.000 | $88.24 | +$73.24 |
| Will any month of 2026 be the hottest on record? · Yes | 0.718 | 0.930 | $64.80 | +$14.80 |
| Will Belgium win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes | 0.022 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$10.00 |
| Will Senegal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes | 0.008 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$5.00 |
| Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes | 0.025 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$10.00 |
| Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes | 0.016 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$15.00 |
| US x Iran ceasefire by April 15? · No | 0.720 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$25.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$6.99at 0.811Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $100 by end of March?
- +$4.09at 0.880US x Iran ceasefire by March 31?
- +$-10.71at 0.551Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $105 by end of March?
- +$-15.39at 0.230US forces enter Iran by March 31?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06-11 09:38 | Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.025 | $10.00 |
| 06-11 09:38 | Will Senegal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.008 | $5.00 |
| 06-11 09:37 | Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.016 | $15.00 |
| 06-11 09:36 | Will Belgium win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.0219999979 | $10.00 |
| 06-11 09:36 | Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.1699999908 | $15.00 |
| 03-30 12:42 | Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $100 by end of March? | BUY | 0.8109999996 | $30.00 |
| 03-30 12:42 | Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $105 by end of March? | SELL | 0.256 | $9.29 |
| 03-30 12:39 | US forces enter Iran by March 31? | SELL | 0.053 | $4.61 |
| 03-23 06:09 | US x Iran ceasefire by March 31? | BUY | 0.8799999988 | $30.00 |
| 03-23 06:08 | US forces enter Iran by March 31? | BUY | 0.2299999931 | $20.00 |
| 03-23 06:06 | Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $105 by end of March? | BUY | 0.5511732136 | $20.00 |
| 03-22 20:15 | US x Iran ceasefire by April 15? | BUY | 0.7199999965 | $25.00 |
| 03-22 20:12 | Will any month of 2026 be the hottest on record? | BUY | 0.7176189374 | $50.00 |