tinylonglong
0x04dcf8d1328b2bf5fa6e7aa8a200df95751cd572
- Realised P&L
- $4.0k
- Volume
- $1.03M
- Markets traded
- 23,829
- Open portfolio
- $640.99
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.4%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded23,829
- Far too many to mirror. This is automated flow across the whole venue, not a set of considered positions — copying it means rebuilding their infrastructure, at which point you are not copying anyone.
- ClearProfit concentration24.8% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)56.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration9.0% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$451.35at 0.500Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 23°C on April 24?
- +$324.07at 0.050Will the highest temperature in New York City be 77°F or below on April 17?
- +$258.12at 0.050Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 17°C on April 17?
- +$253.90at 0.398Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on May 9?
- +$238.75at 0.050Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 64-65°F on April 24?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06-01 05:08 | Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 34°C on June 1? | SELL | 0.012 | $0.06 |
| 06-01 05:08 | Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 33°C on June 1? | SELL | 0.14 | $0.70 |
| 06-01 05:08 | Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 35°C or higher on June 1? | SELL | 0.006 | $0.03 |
| 06-01 05:08 | Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 31°C on June 1? | SELL | 0.02 | $0.10 |
| 06-01 05:08 | Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 30°C on June 1? | SELL | 0.003 | $0.01 |
| 06-01 05:08 | Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 29°C on June 1? | SELL | 0.001 | $0.01 |
| 06-01 05:07 | Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 26°C on June 1? | SELL | 0.001 | $0.01 |
| 06-01 05:07 | Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 30°C on June 1? | SELL | 0.33 | $1.65 |
| 06-01 05:07 | Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 31°C or higher on June 1? | SELL | 0.07 | $0.35 |
| 06-01 05:07 | Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 27°C on June 1? | SELL | 0.001 | $0.01 |
| 06-01 05:05 | Will the highest temperature in Busan be 31°C on June 1? | SELL | 0.001 | $0.01 |
| 06-01 05:05 | Will the highest temperature in Busan be 32°C or higher on June 1? | SELL | 0.001 | $0.01 |
| 06-01 05:05 | Will the highest temperature in Busan be 28°C on June 1? | SELL | 0.001 | $0.01 |
| 06-01 05:05 | Will the highest temperature in Busan be 29°C on June 1? | SELL | 0.91 | $4.55 |
| 06-01 05:05 | Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 27°C or higher on June 1? | SELL | 0.002 | $0.01 |