COlorado
0x04c38acbe87344d15e283482fdc5f4b29446afb8
- Realised P&L
- $-25.11
- Volume
- $47.5k
- Markets traded
- 11
- Open portfolio
- $1.54
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded11
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration59.1% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample9 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)88.9%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nick Fuentes federally charged? · Yes | 0.055 | 0.035 | $1.54 | −$0.88 |
| Will Marcel Ciolacu win the 2024 Romanian Presidential election? · Yes | 0.001 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$12.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$18.57at 0.014Will Kamala Harris win the 2024 US Presidential Election?
- +$5.67at 0.660Will Barcelona win La Liga?
- +$4.69at 0.810Will Joe Biden win the 2024 US Presidential Election?
- +$0.70at 0.940Afghanistan vs. New Guinea - Cricket T20 World Cup
- +$0.61at 0.620Will Berachain not launch a token in 2024?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03-19 20:57 | Will Marcel Ciolacu win the 2024 Romanian Presidential election? | BUY | 0.0010340371 | $12.00 |
| 03-19 20:56 | Will Barcelona win La Liga? | BUY | 0.6599999856 | $11.00 |
| 11-01 18:36 | Will Berachain not launch a token in 2024? | BUY | 0.6199998512 | $1.00 |
| 06-28 13:27 | Will Nikki Haley win the 2024 US Presidential Election? | BUY | 0.002 | $18.73 |
| 06-28 13:26 | Will Joe Biden win the 2024 US Presidential Election? | BUY | 0.8099999931 | $20.00 |
| 06-28 13:26 | Will Kamala Harris win the 2024 US Presidential Election? | SELL | 0.04 | $28.57 |
| 06-24 20:52 | Biden takes drug test before Trump debate? | BUY | 0.9869999753 | $20.00 |
| 06-24 20:52 | Will Kamala Harris win the 2024 US Presidential Election? | BUY | 0.014 | $10.00 |
| 06-10 12:18 | Australia vs. Namibia - Cricket T20 World Cup | BUY | 0.97 | $11.00 |
| 06-10 12:17 | Afghanistan vs. New Guinea - Cricket T20 World Cup | BUY | 0.9399999966 | $11.00 |
| 06-10 12:17 | England vs. Oman - Cricket T20 World Cup | BUY | 0.95 | $11.00 |