0x044B0f10Ce75FB4e965AB80B73eCcE4Fd81A6239-1777445898580
0x044b0f10ce75fb4e965ab80b73ecce4fd81a6239
- Realised P&L
- $-117.68
- Volume
- $6.6k
- Markets traded
- 311
- Open portfolio
- $7.97
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.8%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded311
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration8.2% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)74.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration86.6% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$18.81at 0.085Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on June 6?
- +$10.44at 0.099Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on June 9?
- +$10.38at 0.490Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-13?
- +$9.98at 0.500Will RC Celta de Vigo win on 2026-05-09?
- +$8.82at 0.340Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 25°C on August 1?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-03 03:01 | Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 25°C on August 3? | SELL | 0.9180829016 | $12.40 |
| 08-03 03:00 | Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on August 4? | BUY | 0.0599999865 | $4.00 |
| 08-03 02:59 | Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on August 4? | BUY | 0.2799999731 | $5.00 |
| 08-02 02:54 | Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 25°C on August 3? | BUY | 0.3699999674 | $5.00 |
| 08-02 02:51 | Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 25°C on August 2? | SELL | 0.5594094346 | $15.53 |
| 08-01 06:44 | Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on August 3? | BUY | 0.359999977 | $5.00 |
| 08-01 06:05 | Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on August 2? | BUY | 0.1491053566 | $10.00 |
| 08-01 06:05 | Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 25°C on August 2? | BUY | 0.359999987 | $10.00 |
| 08-01 05:53 | Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 24°C on August 1? | SELL | 0.2844465433 | $7.53 |
| 08-01 05:53 | Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 25°C on August 1? | SELL | 0.64 | $18.82 |
| 07-31 00:25 | Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 24°C on August 1? | BUY | 0.3399999633 | $5.00 |
| 07-31 00:25 | Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 25°C on July 31? | SELL | 0.3368758003 | $5.26 |
| 07-31 00:10 | Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 24°C on August 1? | BUY | 0.3399999694 | $4.00 |
| 07-31 00:09 | Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on July 31? | SELL | 0.1152296535 | $1.43 |
| 07-30 14:23 | Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 25°C on August 1? | BUY | 0.3399999857 | $10.00 |