PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

0x044B0f10Ce75FB4e965AB80B73eCcE4Fd81A6239-1777445898580

0x044b0f10ce75fb4e965ab80b73ecce4fd81a6239

Realised P&L
$-117.68
Volume
$6.6k
Markets traded
311
Open portfolio
$7.97

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-1.8%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded311
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration8.2% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)74.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration86.6% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on August 4? · Yes0.2800.365$6.52+$1.52
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on August 4? · Yes0.0600.015$1.00$3.00
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on August 3? · Yes0.3600.001$0.01$4.99
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on July 28? · Yes0.3790.000$0.00$2.00
NBA Summer League: Houston Rockets vs. Philadelphia 76ers · Philadelphia 76ers0.6500.000$0.00$3.00
Will Austria win on 2026-06-27? · Yes0.3300.000$0.00$10.00
Toronto Tempo vs. Chicago Sky · Chicago Sky0.6500.000$0.00$1.00
Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 20°C on June 17? · Yes0.3900.000$0.00$1.00
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-06? · Yes0.2400.000$0.00$2.00
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-05-05? · Yes0.1830.000$0.00$3.00
Boston Red Sox vs. Athletics · Boston Red Sox0.5800.000$0.00$3.00
Will Nottingham Forest FC win on 2026-05-17? · Yes0.1800.000$0.00$1.00
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on June 6? · Yes0.0010.000$0.00$1.00
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on June 13? · Yes0.2300.000$0.00$3.00
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? · Yes0.6100.000$0.00$5.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-03 03:01Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 25°C on August 3?SELL0.9180829016$12.40
08-03 03:00Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on August 4?BUY0.0599999865$4.00
08-03 02:59Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on August 4?BUY0.2799999731$5.00
08-02 02:54Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 25°C on August 3?BUY0.3699999674$5.00
08-02 02:51Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 25°C on August 2?SELL0.5594094346$15.53
08-01 06:44Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on August 3?BUY0.359999977$5.00
08-01 06:05Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on August 2?BUY0.1491053566$10.00
08-01 06:05Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 25°C on August 2?BUY0.359999987$10.00
08-01 05:53Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 24°C on August 1?SELL0.2844465433$7.53
08-01 05:53Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 25°C on August 1?SELL0.64$18.82
07-31 00:25Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 24°C on August 1?BUY0.3399999633$5.00
07-31 00:25Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 25°C on July 31?SELL0.3368758003$5.26
07-31 00:10Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 24°C on August 1?BUY0.3399999694$4.00
07-31 00:09Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on July 31?SELL0.1152296535$1.43
07-30 14:23Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 25°C on August 1?BUY0.3399999857$10.00