zhujianrong
0x0402036ffe66621495ca8530bd935d5509e75769
- Realised P&L
- $7.80
- Volume
- $5.9k
- Markets traded
- 63
- Open portfolio
- $97.46
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded63
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration48.2% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample44 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$64.50at 0.070Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 9 to June 16, 2026?
- +$62.79at 0.052Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from June 26 to July 3, 2026?
- +$0.76at 0.992Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 13°C or below on April 13?
- +$0.44at 0.996Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 16°C on April 16?
- +$0.29at 0.997Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 30°C on May 26?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-02 08:31 | Will the price of Solana be above $30 on August 6? | BUY | 0.999 | $98.00 |
| 07-18 14:57 | Will the price of Solana be above $130 on July 20? | BUY | 0.999 | $95.00 |
| 06-30 14:36 | Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from June 26 to July 3, 2026? | BUY | 0.08 | $3.76 |
| 06-30 13:37 | Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from June 26 to July 3, 2026? | BUY | 0.023 | $2.42 |
| 06-30 13:37 | Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from June 26 to July 3, 2026? | BUY | 0.069 | $3.24 |
| 06-30 13:36 | Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from June 26 to July 3, 2026? | BUY | 0.15 | $15.75 |
| 06-30 13:36 | Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from June 26 to July 3, 2026? | BUY | 0.006773619 | $0.71 |
| 06-30 13:36 | Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from June 26 to July 3, 2026? | BUY | 0.052 | $5.46 |
| 06-16 06:31 | Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from June 9 to June 16, 2026? | BUY | 0.562 | $28.10 |
| 06-16 00:37 | Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 9 to June 16, 2026? | SELL | 0.43 | $21.50 |
| 06-09 15:47 | Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from June 9 to June 16, 2026? | BUY | 0.028 | $2.77 |
| 06-06 15:27 | Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from June 9 to June 16, 2026? | BUY | 0.017 | $1.70 |
| 06-06 15:27 | Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from June 9 to June 16, 2026? | BUY | 0.0336666667 | $3.54 |
| 06-04 04:26 | Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 20°C on June 5? | BUY | 0.998 | $98.00 |
| 06-01 06:23 | Will the highest temperature in Munich be 29°C or higher on June 2? | BUY | 0.997 | $98.00 |