caissedirk5od
0x03df7b004723023135dfbb1f65331177bd7749c9
- Realised P&L
- $22.20
- Volume
- $5.3k
- Markets traded
- 77
- Open portfolio
- $0.00
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.4%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded77
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration50.4% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Google (GOOGL) Up or Down on October 17? · Down | 0.900 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$9.92at 0.981Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 10?
- +$2.34at 0.900Charlotte 49ers vs. Army
- +$2.09at 0.996Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on May 13?
- +$1.20at 0.952Spain vs. Austria: O/U 0.5
- +$1.05at 0.998Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on May 15?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-01 17:53 | Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,300 on August 4? | BUY | 0.9989999833 | $25.55 |
| 07-22 15:23 | Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,100 on July 23? | BUY | 0.9989999821 | $25.52 |
| 07-12 15:34 | Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,600 on July 13? | BUY | 0.998 | $25.48 |
| 07-02 15:19 | Spain vs. Austria: O/U 0.5 | BUY | 0.9524999998 | $24.00 |
| 06-22 16:24 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $58,000 on June 23? | BUY | 0.999 | $24.30 |
| 06-12 15:14 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on June 13? | BUY | 0.999 | $24.27 |
| 06-02 15:20 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on June 3? | BUY | 0.999 | $24.25 |
| 05-23 15:19 | Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on May 24? | BUY | 0.9969999999 | $24.16 |
| 05-16 03:52 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 16? | BUY | 0.996 | $24.10 |
| 05-15 01:09 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on May 15? | BUY | 0.998 | $523.00 |
| 05-14 01:29 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on May 14? | BUY | 0.999 | $522.59 |
| 05-13 01:16 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on May 13? | BUY | 0.9959999989 | $520.50 |
| 05-12 01:43 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on May 12? | BUY | 0.999 | $520.15 |
| 05-11 01:53 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $88,000 on May 11? | BUY | 0.999 | $519.68 |
| 05-10 09:01 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 10? | BUY | 0.9808824482 | $509.00 |