touliu
0x031329fcfcc3863298c43fdb4bd886ab86d65516
- Realised P&L
- $-116.85
- Volume
- $9.4k
- Markets traded
- 36
- Open portfolio
- $3.64
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded36
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration100.0% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- ClearSettled sample39 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)2.6%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Rafael Fiziev fight Dan Hooker next? · Yes | 0.155 | 0.045 | $3.64 | −$8.76 |
| Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 22°C on April 22? · Yes | 0.080 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$2.40 |
| Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 21°C on April 22? · Yes | 0.200 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$6.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$0.43at 0.040Will SpaceX's market cap be between $2.5T and $3.0T at market close on IPO day?
- +$0.00at 0.201Will the Ornn H100 Index be between $2.50 and $3.00 on December 31, 2026?
- +$0.00at 0.730Will Airbnb, Inc. (ABNB) hit (LOW) $132 in July?
- +$0.00at 0.270Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $95 Week of May 18 2026?
- +$0.00at 0.120Will over 8000 US flights be delayed on March 24?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-25 01:38 | Will Coinbase Global, Inc. (COIN) hit (HIGH) $185 in July? | SELL | 0.12 | $9.03 |
| 07-25 00:55 | Will the Ornn H100 Index be between $2.50 and $3.00 on December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.201 | $2.48 |
| 07-24 22:56 | Will Mercedes be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion? | SELL | 0.86 | $68.80 |
| 07-24 15:10 | Will Roberto Mancini be the next head coach of the Italian National Soccer Team? | SELL | 0.08 | $3.20 |
| 07-24 14:25 | Will Haley Stevens win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary? | SELL | 0.782 | $31.28 |
| 07-24 13:52 | Will Ferrari be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion? | SELL | 0.881 | $1.19 |
| 07-24 13:52 | Will Ferrari be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion? | SELL | 0.881 | $69.28 |
| 07-24 13:38 | Will Coinbase Global, Inc. (COIN) hit (HIGH) $185 in July? | SELL | 0.18 | $3.96 |
| 07-24 08:54 | Will Pep Guardiola be the next head coach of the Italian National Soccer Team? | SELL | 0.171 | $6.84 |
| 07-23 21:59 | Will Abdul El-Sayed win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary? | SELL | 0.2 | $8.00 |
| 07-23 21:14 | Will Mercedes be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion? | SELL | 0.1100325 | $8.80 |
| 07-23 18:23 | Will Abdul El-Sayed win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary? | SELL | 0.2 | $16.00 |
| 07-23 15:35 | Will Ferrari be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion? | SELL | 0.882 | $70.56 |
| 07-23 14:43 | Will Haley Stevens win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary? | SELL | 0.78 | $62.40 |
| 07-23 12:29 | Will Milwaukee Brewers win the 2026 NL Central title | SELL | 0.16 | $12.80 |