deltador44
0x02bc803d7dccb33a0fe91183842bca941e7b681b
- Realised P&L
- $-9.71
- Volume
- $1.7k
- Markets traded
- 27
- Open portfolio
- $75.33
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.6%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded27
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration21.5% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- CautionSettled sample22 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)45.5%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration38.3% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mistral AI IPO before 2027? · No | 0.810 | 0.875 | $28.88 | +$2.14 |
| Will the US federal government take a stake in Pfizer Inc.? · No | 0.870 | 0.905 | $9.96 | +$0.38 |
| Netanyahu out by end of 2026? · Yes | 0.340 | 0.395 | $7.11 | +$0.99 |
| Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? · Yes | 0.234 | 0.278 | $6.94 | +$1.09 |
| Anthropic IPO before 2027? · Yes | 0.660 | 0.670 | $6.04 | +$0.09 |
| Will the US federal government take a stake in Anthropic PBC? · Yes | 0.170 | 0.130 | $5.33 | −$1.64 |
| Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? · No | 0.202 | 0.176 | $4.41 | −$0.64 |
| OpenAI IPO before 2027? · Yes | 0.551 | 0.185 | $4.08 | −$8.07 |
| Will Trump pardon Sam Bankman-Fried before 2027? · Yes | 0.100 | 0.048 | $2.59 | −$2.81 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$2.08at 0.120Will Mercedes be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion?
- +$1.35at 0.350Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?
- +$1.25at 0.707Will Connor McDavid win the 2025–2026 NHL Hart Memorial Trophy?
- +$1.25at 0.380Will Likud win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?
- +$1.17at 0.800Applied Intuition IPO before 2027?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-02 00:24 | Will Cleitinho Azevedo win the 2026 Minas Gerais gubernatorial election? | SELL | 0.33 | $3.16 |
| 08-01 15:35 | Will Cleitinho Azevedo win the 2026 Minas Gerais gubernatorial election? | BUY | 0.53 | $5.30 |
| 08-01 04:45 | Anthropic IPO before 2027? | BUY | 0.66 | $5.94 |
| 07-31 20:04 | Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026? | SELL | 0.29 | $4.64 |
| 07-31 04:07 | Will Justin Gaethje be the UFC Lightweight Champion on December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.2468333333 | $5.92 |
| 07-30 07:30 | Will Justin Gaethje be the UFC Lightweight Champion on December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.2 | $4.80 |
| 07-29 21:06 | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? | SELL | 0.44 | $6.60 |
| 07-29 20:18 | Will Cleitinho Azevedo win the 2026 Minas Gerais gubernatorial election? | SELL | 0.24 | $3.36 |
| 07-29 19:05 | Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026? | BUY | 0.31 | $4.96 |
| 07-29 14:25 | Will Cleitinho Azevedo win the 2026 Minas Gerais gubernatorial election? | BUY | 0.37 | $5.18 |
| 07-29 04:22 | Will Mercedes be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion? | SELL | 0.16 | $8.32 |
| 07-28 05:50 | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.35 | $5.25 |
| 07-28 05:05 | Netanyahu out by end of 2026? | BUY | 0.34 | $6.12 |
| 07-28 04:37 | Anthropic IPO before 2027? | SELL | 0.68 | $12.92 |
| 07-26 10:10 | Will Mercedes be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion? | BUY | 0.12 | $6.24 |